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Agencies, get ready to downsize

When you take into account inflation, NIH’s budget is actually $1.5 billion lower in 2015 than it was in 2008. Energy Programs at DOE are above 2008 levels but well below their 2011 levels.  (The chart below shows the change in annual budgetary outlays from 2008 to 2015 in inflation adjusted dollars.)

Such yo-yoing budgets are difficult for any agency.  The projected fall-off in funding for NIH after 2011 is unprecedented in the agency’s history.  What it means is that the very graduate students that benefit from increased grant funding in 2010 and 2011 will graduate into a bleak and grant-starved environment a few years later.

In the end, growing discretionary programs on borrowed money is no different than financing a car for ten years when you know you plan to replace it in three.  You may start out with a Lexus but by the third car you will be paying for a Rolls Royce while driving a Chevy.


Richard M. Russell is CEO and Managing Partner of VIAforward, a technology consulting company.  He is also Managing Partner of rpd | ANALYTICS.

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