With all the hubbub about the recently passed health care reform (sic?) bill, we thought we would step back and take a look at this thing through the eyes of Professor Alfred E. Neuman, he of irreverent MAD Magazine fame, who is apparently leading the “Don’t Worry, Be Happy!” political party in the 21st century.
“What is the big deal?” Mr. Neuman might say. “All we did was expand health care to everyone and besides, who cares just how large our budget deficits and national debt get as long as everyone is taken care of now with universal health care coverage?”
One young national opiner, a Mr. Ezra Klein, even went so far as to officially say that this is not a big deal because it ‘only’ raises spending by 4 percent of all health care spending in the out-years. (We don’t think he ever served on a budget committee of any kind in the U.S. Congress from what we can tell.)
Our retort is this: Is that 4 percent going to be too much when piled on top what will be by then well over 50 percent of our entire federal budget outlays in spending going to Medicare Parts A, B and D and Medicaid? People like Mr. Klein and Mr. Neuman never seem to be concerned one whit about how we are going to pay for all of this stuff and ever balance the federal budget again in our lifetimes.
What could possibly happen as a result of this bill?
Nothing, other than millions of people will have access to health care coverage, which is a good thing. We all want that; we just have differing views on how best to achieve that laudable goal, except many Americans want it done within some firm budgetary limits.
Who knows? This thing might actually work out exactly like the geniuses who designed it say it will. There will be absolutely zero unintended and deleterious side effects, ever. President Obama and Speaker Pelosi ‘promised’ us that, didn’t they?
The United States economy is so enormous and vibrant that it has withstood such tectonic shocks as the inane political decisions that lead to the Great Recession that Became the Great Depression during the 1930s and ‘only’ took 10 years of ‘government infrastructure economic stimulus’ to get out of. (sound familiar?)
We have been running what has seemed like treacherous deficits and building up magnificent amounts of debt since 1970 (for the only extended period during peace conditions in American history except for the Great Depression) and nothing really and truly ‘awful’ has happened as a result. ‘So who should really care?’ say many from the Progressive Alfred E. Neuman Party.
We could skate by any possible problems caused by the expansion of debt now under the Bush and Obama administrations. Just like always in the past. “We are America! We are not bound by the usual rules of gravity, economics or common sense!”
Or we may not. What then?
Many economists have estimated that future economic growth will drop by 1 percent per year when national debt exceeds 90 percent of GDP. Check out Japan for the past 20 years. Remember when everyone was worried Japan was going to take over the economic world and buy up all the US commercial real estate? Their debt-to-GDP ratio is now 192 percent and they have been in the La Brea tar pits of economic stagnation ever since 1989.

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