Sports

TheDC Fantasy Outsider: Week 2, part I

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Andy Hayes
Contributor

Welcome to the Fantasy Football Rankings for Week 2. Please feel free to contact us with any specific line-up questions or general thoughts on the rankings.

Week 2

RBs:

1.    Michael Turner – nice match-up this week against Arizona. He’ll get lots of carries. (And, if I’m not mistaken, Mike Smith likes to run the ball at home quite a bit.)

2.    DeAngelo Williams – didn’t do much last week against the NYG, but I didn’t expect him to. This week, he’ll be good.

3.    Adrian Peterson – Miami will struggle to contain AP this week.

4.    Frank Gore – despite New Orleans doing a decent job against Adrian Peterson last week, Gore and the 49ers will be playing desperate. I expect a big week from Gore, possibly a monster week.

5.    Steven Jackson – at Oakland is a good match-up for Jackson. The more Sam Bradford plays and the more passes he completes, the better chance that defenses will need to start respecting the passing game. Until then, they will simply key on Jackson. It’s truly amazing he gets the stats he does when defenses spend so much energy trying to stop him, but I see him doing it here again.

6.    Ryan Mathews – didn’t look that impressive to me last week but somehow wound up with 75 yards rushing. I expect the story line next week to be “Ryan Matthews makes the Chargers feel better about moving on from LT”.  Early in the season, young RBs often get a huge psychological boost playing at home in front of their fans. And younger RBs are often more inclined to feed off of that positive adrenaline.

7.    Ahmad Bradshaw – Bradshaw had a good game last week. Indy’s run D obviously is not very good (see last week’s “effort” against Houston). With Bob Sanders out, I think Indy’s run D is now quite a bit worse.

8.   Darren McFadden – was very tempted to start McFadden in one league  last week (mistakenly went with JeromeHarrison). I figured he’s been waiting for a chance to be THE guy. Well, he finally got that chance and delivered and now he could be ready to launch. McFadden was one of the most dominant college players I’ve ever watched play. He could end up being very good this year if he stays healthy. Good match-up this week (despite Michael Bush being back and stealing a few carries).

9.    Chris Johnson – tough match-up for CJ this week. The Steelers’ D looks good again with Polamalu back in the fold. Johnson will still get some stats, but I expect this to be a defensive showdown.

10.    Ray Rice – Rice did not look like himself against the Jets. Not just because of the Jets’ D, but because his mind didn’t seem to be in the game. A couple dropped passes and what looked to me like hitting the wrong holes on 2-3 occasions. Odd, I expected Rice to end up the #1 RB this year – now I’m not so sure.

11.    Brandon Jackson – Jackson is now the #1 back for the Packers with Grant out for the year. Jackson is a decent back, but runs cautiously – seemingly obsessed with not fumbling. He’ll probably run a bit more aggressively considering he’ll be extra pumped to be starting in front of the home crowd. And, importantly,  this game won’t be close. Only possible problem with playing Jackson this week? FB/HB John Kuhn may steal his TDs and some of his receptions out of the backfield.

12.    Maurice Jones-Drew – he’s good anywhere and I wasn’t that impressed by San Diego’s run D Monday Night. Drawback could be that Jax may be playing catch-up/throwing a lot in this one.

13.    Jahvid Best – Best was actually very weak against the Bears last week w/regard to running/catching the ball – but he managed to get 2 TDs, so fantasy-wise he did well. While his poor yards-per-carry performance bears monitoring, I’m a bit more focused on the fact that he made it into the end zone twice – a skill some backs seem to either have or not. (Psychologically, seeing a RB convert on TD opportunities also affects a coach’s likelihood of calling that player’s # in the red zone – see Balt’s John Harbaugh and his Willis McGahee strategy. I like Best in this game because I think Detroit  will be especially angry after last week’s controversial finish. (And despite a good first quarter, the Philly D run D wasn’t THAT good against the Packers last week.)