A top Republican House official is voicing an optimistic take on the coming midterm election, vowing that Democratic Rep. Nancy Pelosi’s “days as speaker are numbered” and saying the Republicans are “already” slated to win 40 seats, with many more within reach.
The memo is important because its author, the top House Republican campaign official, Rep. Pete Sessions, chairman of the National Republican Congressional Committee, is laying down a clear marker of expectations that would have seemed wildly optimistic two years ago.
“We have captured critical momentum that will play a large role in breaking the 39-seat barrier,” Sessions says, referring to the number of seats Republicans need to take back the House.
In the “interested parties” memo, Sessions outlines numerous reasons he believes Republicans are not only winning by large margins, but carrying momentum into the final stretch of the campaign.
Included in those is that “Republican turnout in early voting is nearly universally above registration levels, proving that the intensity gap that Democrats fear is in fact real.” There has been some debate whether early voting patterns can be measured to show which party is winning that portion of the vote.
Sessions says the Democrats’ “triage” or “firewall” strategy is failing because the Democrats have had to leave so many of their fellow party members for dead.
“The Democrats’ ‘triage’ strategy is cutting off outgoing incumbents at a rapid pace, all but conceding losses in key races,” Sessions says in the memo.
“The national environment has presented the extraordinary opportunity for Republicans to capture the majority, but the NRCC’s record-setting fundraising has allowed us to capitalize and remain on offense,” Sessions claims, citing an $11.2 million haul in September.
Sessions also hits Democrats for their flailing attacks on the Chamber of Commerce for “secret,” “foreign” money, allegations for which Democrats provided no evidence.
Democrats “have desperately turned to attacking outside organizations who dare oppose their anti-business views. Democrats had no complaints when their liberal allies were spending hundreds of millions of dollars on their behalf in the 2006 and 2008 elections. They also conveniently neglect to mention the fact that labor unions continue to outspend conservative groups as well,” Sessions says.
For these reasons, Sessions conclude Republicans will win back the House.
“Make no mistake: Nancy Pelosi’s days as speaker of the House are numbered. Thanks to nearly two years of hard work on the campaign front and a renewed commitment to listening to the American people, Republicans are poised for a significant victory on Nov. 2. With just days to go until Election Day, we are faced with a historic opportunity to take control of Congress away from Nancy Pelosi and put a stop to the Democrats’ reckless job-killing agenda. Republicans intend to seize this opportunity,” Sessions says.
The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee did not immediately return a request for comment on the memo.