The Daily Caller

The Daily Caller

Influential think tank calls on Obama to ‘own’ Afghan war, give clear long-term troop commitment

As President Obama prepares to give the nation a status update on the war in Afghanistan Thursday, some in Washington are calling on him to “own” the conflict in a way they say he has not, and to articulate a clearer long-term commitment to the region than he has so far.

A new report on Afghanistan says that the U.S. public should prepare to have roughly 30,000 troops there for years to come – conducting “a prolonged low level of unconventional war” – in large part because the terrorist threat from the region is not going away, probably for decades.

“It’s time to recognize that the war in Afghanistan will not end in July 2011, and that the United States and its allies need a new strategy,” says the report from the Center for a New American Security.

CNAS is an influential think tank founded in 2007 by Michelle Flournoy and Kurt Campbell, who are now top government officials in the Obama administration at the Pentagon and the State Department, respectively.

Obama, the report said, has yet to articulate an “‘end game’ in Afghanistan – what the enduring U.S. presence and commitment would look like, or if there would be one at all.”

The report was authored by retired U.S. Army Lt. Gen. David Barno, who commanded U.S. troops in Afghanistan in 2003, and Andrew Exum, a former Army Ranger and civilian adviser to Gen. Stanley McChrystal, who commanded the mission from June 2009 to June 2010.

In fact, President Obama has already in recent weeks moved the deadline for the removal of U.S. troops from July 2011 to December 2014. But Barno and Exum argued that the perception remains in the region that the U.S. is just biding its time until it abandons Afghanistan.

The message received by Afghans at all levels of society from Obama’s December 2009 speech at West Point – where he first announced both a 30,000 troop increase and the July 2011 withdrawal date – was simple, the report said: “The Americans are leaving.”

“The U.S. has to dispel that uncertainty. We have to a commit to a long term strategy and a long term military deployment: not a large one but a sustainable one in Afghanistan,” Barno said. “Today if you’re a Pakistani national security adviser, or you’re an Afghan adviser to President Karzai, you’re operating under the assumption that the U.S. is leaving, and that’s it’s only a matter of time. We have to dispel that notion.”

Their report is clear-eyed both about the rapidly declining level of support among Americans for the war, as well as the dwindling amount of treasure available to fund such expensive military operations, because of the nation’s deficit and debt troubles.

“By 2018, the baseline U.S. defense budget of about $550 billion will be matched by annual interest payments on [the national] debt, which will only grow thereafter,” they note.

But they argue that the impact of a destabilizing exit from Afghanistan is a grave enough threat to U.S. national security to merit a continued investment, albeit a smaller one. There would be a greater ability for terrorist organizations such as Al Qaeda to plan attacks on the U.S., and an increasing risk of Pakistan’s nuclear weaponry falling into the hands of rogue actors if the government there falls.

Barno and Exum’s report states that they are offering “a responsible alternative to an exit strategy that ends the U.S. presence by precipitately turning the war over to the Afghans and … once again abandoning Central Asia as the United States tried in the 1990’s, to devastating effect.”

  • zashby

    We should absolutely shut down the war. China and Russia would make much better world leaders. In fact, lets completely withdraw our troops from around the world, let’s be much more like Europe and take care only of ourselves. Then, when failing and failed states along with non-state actors commit crimes, we, too, can complain from a relatively safe distance that no one is taking care of them. After all, what’s the worst that can happen? What business does the US have in stabilizing and offering liberal democracy to the third world anyway?

    • loudog

      Where do you find “stabilizing the third world” in the constitution? How much of a tax increase are you willing to pay for it?

      • zashby

        In the preamble.

        • loudog

          “Provide for the common defense” means nation building third world countries on China’s dime to you? It’s just a living breathing document, isn’t it?

          How much of a tax increase are you willing to pay for it?

          • zashby

            You’re right! We should tell the rest of the world that when we talk about Justice, Liberty, domestic Tranquility, and the general Welfare we mean so in a limited sense. After all, nothing that happens outside our political borders affects what happens within them.

            As a lover of the Constitution (which, apparently, you haven’t read or understood) perhaps we can also ignore the following:

            Article 1, section 8:

            To define and punish Piracies and Felonies committed on the high Seas, and Offenses against the Law of Nations;

            To declare War, grant Letters of Marque and Reprisal, and make Rules concerning Captures on Land and Water;

            Article 2, section 2:
            The President shall be Commander in Chief of the Army and Navy of the United States, and of the Militia of the several States, when called into the actual Service of the United States

  • kingfish

    Is the “influential” think-tank CNAS paid with TAXPAYER funds? TAXPAYERS do NOT want the war extended! They want the war SHUT DOWN…..and NOW!

  • timzank

    Maybe we’re going about this all wrong. To make the left and the right happy, let’s bring EVERYBODY back stateside, set up a nuclear launch perimeter on all of our borders and then never answer the phone again no matter who calls.

    No more military involvement anywhere and not one dime of U.S. money sent or spent on any conflicts, let China and Russia have at it.

  • Davo

    JoeJ

    “Next to the neocon Zionists, the Pentagon is the most pro war organization in America.”

    Are you a Democrat, JoeJ? Or maybe a Muslim terrorist? In matters of national security, it’s hard to tell the difference since 9/11.

    • JoeJ

      No I am a conservative American – I do not see where these wars have done us any good.

      Isn’t endlessly poking a billion people in the eye bad policy?

      Please – because of 9/11 – how many people do we need to kill?

  • JoeJ

    Center for a New American Security

    This organization sounds like a Pentagon propaganda outlet.

    Next to the neocon Zionists, the Pentagon is the most pro war organization in America.

    Why should we give any credence to either of those groups — they have instituted wars that have hurt America.

    Sorry, but sense 9/11 – the Pentagon has brought no security to our homeland.

    • junkmaninohio

      THE CORRECT WORD IS “SINCE”….but I digress. Correct about Pentagon not bringing security to the US. And, if Russia could not defeat them, what makes Obama and the Pentagon think we can do the same.

      • JoeJ

        Thanks for the correction – I can never get those two words right – sorry.

  • loudog

    Apparently this “think” tank hasn’t gotten the word that we’re broke and we can’t tax cut our way to affording to “own” a country that’s never been owned before. In 10 years Karzai will still be corrupt, Pakistan will still support our enemies and the people still won’t want an occupation…and we’ll still owe China for bankrolling our lost cause.

    How much of a tax increase are Republicans willing to pay to support social programs in Iraq and Afghanistan?

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  • krjohnson

    Politically I hope he takes full control of the war and steps up the war propaganda to record levels. It will force the Republicans to finally come out against it, even if in some small way, just to be on the other side of the issue and get votes. Hopefully we can build on that.

    Of course as a matter of policy I hope we get out of this bloody, pointless money pit as soon as possible.

  • spike1120

    I am no longer concerned about whether the GOP or DUMS want the war or not.

    The facts are that this slice of nowhere is unconquerable and ungovernable unless we get really serious and blow the place to hell and back.

    We waste our young peoples lives on a fruitless war. Bring them home now. We can send them to the Mexican border and use a great many rendering South America moot.

    • I_Walk_Alone

      From Alexander the Great to the USSR… NO ONE HAS WON IN AFGHANISTAN (read a history book… they say Obama went to Columbia & Harvard, wonder if he knows that)
      Not since Carter have I seen a US President who cares less and has less respect for the US MILITARY.
      Obama as “CINC” is a sad & weak joke…
      Come 2013 (post-Obama) maybe AMERICA will have the balls to protect our Southern Border with some real combat troops, because we will have to; Mexico = next Afghanistan!

      • georgiapeach

        You are aware that the Afghani’s themselves beat the Russians and the Taliban. The Taliban are not the native Afghanis!!!

        • loudog

          “The Taliban are not the native Afghanis!!! ”

          Better check your facts. Are they not from the Afghanis who fought the British? Who are they then?