Mitt Romney is a weak frontrunner

According to another CNN poll, Giuliani is the candidate that GOP voters most want to join the race. And it turns out that for all the newfound support that Romney enjoys, it’s largely due to his recent announcement that he’s running. The same is true of Sarah Palin, whose support rose to 20%, second only to Romney, after she launched her national bus tour. Giuliani, who led Romney and Palin in a CNN poll two weeks ago when news of his possible candidacy resurfaced, still ranks high with GOP voters. Should he jump into the race, as many observers now expect, his poll numbers are likely to rise sharply once again.

Why should Republicans vote for Romney? Assuming that no other credible candidates join the race and he becomes the nominee, they should, of course. One poll found that nearly two-thirds of U.S. voters think that Romney could beat Obama in 2012. That doesn’t mean they’d vote for Romney over Obama themselves — just that they think lots of other voters might. That’s a powerful perception, much like the perception that Romney is the GOP frontrunner.

But that perception is likely to be tested in the coming weeks as one Republican after another throws his hat into the ring — former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman next week, Giuliani perhaps the following, and Texas Gov. Rick Perry and perhaps South Dakota Senator John Thune soon thereafter. There’s a reason that so many GOP donors — and influential national and state political operatives — are refusing to commit to any candidate yet.

As Yogi Berra once said, “It ain’t over til it’s over.” Not only is this race not over, it’s just getting underway.

Stewart J. Lawrence is a Washington, D.C.-based public policy analyst who writes frequently on immigration and Latino affairs. He is also founder and managing director of Puentes & Associates, Inc., a bilingual survey research and communications firm.

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  • Rocketman

    “Compare that to McCain’s commanding second-place finish in 2000, when he beat George W. Bush in New Hampshire and only a concerted effort by the Bush team, which included a horrible smear campaign against McCain in South Carolina, kept the Arizona senator from claiming the nomination himself.”
    – Stewart Lawrence

    And then you had to go and spoil it all by repeating a nasty, hateful, left-wing, McCain-aided lie. The incident you cite was a canard. I would think that someone writing an article about this ‘n that would at least be proficient in reporting the facts. If Google is not your friend, then e-mail me and I’ll provide you with the facts as they transpired.

    By the way, Mittens isn’t going to get the GOP nod. This garbage about “it’s my turn” has damn near ruined the GOP. And don’t try to tell me about how Mittens saved the Olympics from ruin in Salt Lake City. All Mittens did was tell his Mormon bros that they would be in big trouble with their stake, ward, and the cult-like “church” itself if they didn’t straighten up and fly right or get out of the way. Much like ‘gelicals, Mormons are all about appearances.
    Been there, seen that, helped some get into prison. (grin)
    Just the facts, Stew, just the facts.


    • stewlaw2009

      Maybe you’re working with a different Google?

      It is WIDELY accepted that the Bush campaign waged a sleazy smear campaign against McCain in the Palmetto State in 2000 – the only issue still in (some) doubt is whether Bush’s people were behind the specific claim that McCain’s wife had given birth to an illegitmate non-White child.

      Here’s just one of many, many stories on the Bush effort, decried by many GOP politicians at the time –

      Canard? Please.

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  • jlmealer

    Just for political knowledge and poke in the eye fun… Please read my note:

    I will be placing myself on the ballot in as many states as possible NOT TO WIN (because ‘they’ would not allow that, but simply to spread the Mealer Economic Plan and hopefully force a slice of common decency into whichever candidate actually wins the presidency. We truly MUST NOT have a politician elected as POTUS in 2012.

    As far as US Debt holders, especially those who are proudly and defiantly touting above our heads, the fact that America has been wholly mismanaged and controlled by transnational conglomerates.

    RE: US Debt to China which is also part of our American unemployment issues… This simple solution is part of the “over-all” Mealer Economic Plan.

    China and the Federal Reserve can be paid off through Article I Section 8 of the US Constitution with coins. By minting several trillion-dollar coins and few 100-billion-dollar coins a US President with the cajones to do it, can flip them at the gathered debt holders and pay them off in full.

    WHY would Congress mint these coins by Presidential Directive alone?
    Simple… Through Executive Order, the national debt and severe American unemployment would be declared a Nation Emergency and the President would put the CIA, FBI, NSA and other military powers (along with the elderly pushing brooms to clean up their mess) under orders to secure those politicians who constitute and prolong this National Emergency through their perverted transnational-conglomerate controlled and lobbyist pay-offs.

    The FDA, EPA and FTC would be put on Port-a-Jon raw sewage-siphoning duty until they can become legitimate organizations and void of lobbyist funds… No more USRDA food poisoning with lobbied additives and toxins! As far I am concerned the Pork Industry and their hazardous ‘food’ products can be shipped to feed America’s enemies. (There is a reason America is getting fat while eating less!). We are being force fed poisons after the lobby groups force the politicians to allow misleading labels and make us fatter to eat more.

    FDA allows sugar to be placed into our milk? When did that happen? MSG in baby food?

    IN FACT, the threat alone of this style of coinage debt pay-off would ‘figuratively speaking’, place the gonads of the ill-willed lenders in Americas soon to be iron grip… Meaning, it’s time to be the greatest nation on earth and lead the way, rather than apologize.

    Would you be willing to read and spread the Arizona based Mealer Plan? This would work so much better on a national level, but I have no federal connections except Arizona’s Sen McCain and Sen Kyl.

    You can read it here

    Please keep in mind, that the Arizona Mealer Economic Plan is outlined for the state where I live.

    Further, I truly believe that an immediate presidential tour of the world called the “Strong American Arrogance Tour” is in order. As IF I were President that is. Hell, after Mealer v GM, I’d take a few bullets just to see this Plan and the ‘Article I, Sec 8- Trillion Dollar Coin debt pay-off’ through!

    One never knows with my peculiar yet oddly blessed life.

    JL Mealer


  • steebo77

    Apparently, he’s not even the frontrunner:
    Economist/yougov Poll: Palin Leads Romney 20% to 14%

  • writeblock

    Rudy is consistently underestimated as a player in 2012, mainly because of his disastrous 2008 primary run. But it’s a huge mistake to consider him a spent force. He was a major player, for instance, in 2010 special elections. In FL he campaigned for tea party favorite Rubio. In MA he campaigned for Brown. In NJ he campaigned for Christie. There was a reason all three asked Rudy, and only Rudy, to help them out–he has a powerful following in many states. Far from being a has-been–like Newt, for instance–he is a tea party favorite, widely recognized as competent, an achiever–and somebody outside the establishment.

    There’s a reason both Perry and Christie met privately with Rudy today. Perry asked for the meeting. He was a big supporter of Rudy last time around. It’s conceivable that if he jumps in, he would want Rudy’s support. A Texan won’t need it in a red state. But he’d need it in places like PA and FL. He knows Rudy has the capacity to deliver too. Why? Because Rudy’s immensely popular in those–and other–blue and purple states, states with huge concentrations of loyal Italian-Americans.

    This is what makes Rudy a major player. He has the most powerful political leverage of all–countless millions of voters who admire him and would vote for him–or for his surrogate–if they got the chance. And there’s a second reason: look at who his political allies are. Not the establishment but players like Palin and Christie and Rubio. Perry is also an ally. So this makes him both powerful and credible.