Bachmann, Romney lead national poll

In a Sarah Palin-less primary field, Mitt Romney faces serious competition from Michele Bachmann on a national level, according to a poll released Tuesday by Public Policy Polling.

The poll found that 21 percent of likely Republican primary voters nationwide named Bachmann as their first choice, and 20 percent named Romney. Rick Perry gets 12 percent, followed by Herman Cain with 11 percent. Pawlenty and Huntsman bring up the rear with 5 percent and 3 percent respectively.

The margin of error of the poll is plus or minus 3.6 percentage points, so Bachmann’s one percentage point lead over Romney is not statistically significant.

If Palin gets into the race, Romney’s lead grows slightly safer. He leads the field with 20 percent of the vote, followed by Bachmann, whose share of the vote drops to 16 percent. Palin takes 12 percent followed by Perry with 11 percent and Cain with 10 percent. Pawlenty and Huntsman again come in behind at 5 percent and 2 percent respectively.

As a result of his performance in this poll, PPP will no longer include Pawlenty in state-level general election polls, meaning they will not poll him in a head-to-head match against Obama. PPP only does this type of polling for the top five candidates in its national poll. Perry will replace Pawlenty.

If the field whittles down to just Bachmann and Romney, Romney could be fighting for his life. Given a choice between the two candidates, 44 percent of likely Republican primary voters said they would vote for Bachmann while 41 percent said they would vote for Romney. (Bachmann surges in national poll, Perry makes strong debut)

Adding to his problems is the fact that 66 percent of Republican voters say they would be unwilling to vote for a candidate “who supported a law at the state level mandating that people have health insurance.” Romney’s high poll numbers suggest that voters are have not yet made the connection between his candidacy and the healthcare program he implemented as governor of Massachusetts.

Nationwide polling can be somewhat misleading. Pollster Chris Perkins pointed out to The Daily Caller last month that in the case of Rudy Giuliani in 2008, for instance, “even when it became absolutely physically impossible for him to win the Republican nomination, he was still winning in the [national] polls.”

What national polls do have an effect on, Perkins said, is “buzz.” Donors watch it in an attempt to throw their money behind a winning candidate, and candidates can use these polls to their advantage.

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  • agkcrbs

    Either would be better than our current king, but I’ll still be laughing my way past TSA and out of this country when you idiots re-elect Obama by putting up either Perry or Bachmann. Though some in the far right are still closing their eyes to it to safeguard their prejudice toward the best candidate, Perry has the most reviled big-government, big-money qualities imputed to Romney while sharing very few of his personal strengths, and is perhaps the only one able to re-ignite Obama’s old crusade against Bush. Bachmann’s health and constitution are the least of her worries in the general election; biggest are her tendencies, endearing to the right but toxic to the nation, to jump headfirst into wildly ideological positions, campaign (like Perry) for pastor-in-chief, and show a consistent lack of originality in leadership.

    Some of you still long for Palin, the Republicans’ even less liked answer to celebrity Obama, or the enfeebled Elder Paul, who has fought a very good fight against his windmills, or whomever else… They’re all ripe for the liberal lynching come 2012. God and history have handed Republicans a lone, shining winner for the next presidential term, and you on the radical right are blindly doing all you can to crucify him, as radical rightists have always done to great reformers. Obama 2008 belonged to brainwashed young liberals, but the blame for Obama 2012 will be yours. A vote for Perry or Bachmann is a vote for Obama.

    Life, anyway, will go on for a while longer, no matter if America stands erect or continues to stumble; but it will go on better for those of us with clear consciences.

  • JL1999

    Something troubles me is that Rick Perry has been an attendee of the Bilderberg society. In 2007 he was invited to the groups meeting in Turkey. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=90jfQrb4wAE.

  • JL1999

    Maybe Bachmann’s migraine problem will change that. Apparently she has had debilitating headaches for years and uses masses of pain killers to cope. She has had to be hospitlaized for the problem too. Add to that the left’s attack against her husband for his effemenate behaviors and that may make the rigors of campaingning too much to overcome. It certainly would cast doubt on her ability to persevere under the strains of the presidency.

  • CK4RP

    Oops, Alexis – you forgot to mention Ron Paul, again. Clever, clever, clever…

  • Derek Wain

    The migraine report was a fabrication from disgruntled former staffers and spread by the leftist blogger Jonathan Strong, who did not provide any soures for his rumor.
    Juan Williams wrote: Whenever the press attacks Bachmann she “gets a flood of support and money. She becomes ‘Every Woman,’ a misunderstood Tea Party mother of five facing down an elitist, arrogant, Obama-leaning press corps.”
    “The dogs bark, but the caravan moves on.”
    The Democratic firm Public Policy Polling delivered a new set of national numbers that show Michele Bachmann is not just an early-state phenomenon, and she hasn’t yet hit her ceiling:
    Bachmann’s momentum continues to build and she’s taken first place by the smallest of margins on PPP’s newest national Presidential poll. 21% of Republican primary voters favor Bachmann to 20% for Mitt Romney.

    • JL1999

      But what if it is true and she is a migraine sufferer? That pretty well makes her unfit for the presidency. If she has to take the day off to recover from her illness what does that say about her ability to cope and do the job? Someone should ask her about it.

  • SunnyJ

    No coincidence that Bachmann shows up on the top of PPP (read lefty dem propaganda polling group) on the same day that a story trashing her out alleging illness and pill popping. This is the Chicago thuggery machine at its best. Well timed attacks, using all the right (left) agenda driven points, isolating, attacking and ridiculing the target…Alinsky rules. It’s like scratch and sniff politics…I can smell it coming from the page!