Union members could cost Obama Pennsylvania in 2012

New polling shows reliably blue Pennsylvania, a state that hasn’t voted for a Republican for president since 1988, could be up for grabs in 2012. And in a wisdom-bending development, organized labor could help the state trend red.

A new poll from the Center for Opinion Research at Franklin & Marshall College in Lancaster, Pa. shows 52 percent of Pennsylvanians want someone other than Barack Obama elected president in 2012. Just 41 percent say he deserves another term.

But most telling in the Franklin & Marshall poll is remarkably high dissatisfaction with Obama in households where rank-and-file union members live.

Although 61 percent of all Democrats polled said they want to see Obama re-elected, 59 percent of union households told the pollsters they wanted to see someone else in the White House.

“Depending who the Republican nominee is, this state should be very competitive,” said Dr. Terry Madonna, director of the Center for Opinion Research, who runs the poll several times a year. “It’s 80 percent about Obama.”

The poll of 525 Pennsylvanians included 216 declared Democrats and 140 declared Republicans, mirroring the massive voter registration advantage Democrats enjoy in the Keystone State. As of mid-May, that gap was more than 1.1 million voters wide.

Madonna told The Daily Caller that the key to putting Pennsylvania in the “R” column will be for voters there to see the eventual nominee as a viable alternative to Obama. (RELATED: AFL-CIO’s Trumka won’t condemn Hoffa’s remarks)

These union numbers mirror overall polling data from overwhelmingly blue-collar, Democratic areas of the state such as the Pittsburgh area, where 58 percent of all voters say it’s time for a change. Only 31 percent from that region said Obama should be re-elected.

Allegheny County, where contains Pittsburgh, sided with Obama over John McCain by a 57–42 margin. But now that same majority — 57 percent — want Obama out of the White House.

“A lot of this has to do with the low levels of satisfaction with the job [Obama] has done … in job creation,” said Jim Roddey, the Allegheny County GOP party chairman. “It’s a time of uncertainty where a lot of people don’t know what our policies are and whether there’s going to be more bailouts, and what the tax rates are going to be.”

“If the economy doesn’t turn around by next September, the Democrats will be in real trouble,” Roddey added. “I tend to believe whoever wins the White House has to win Pennsylvania.”

Roddey did hedge his bets, though, saying that much will depend on who the GOP nominates to challenge Obama.

Democrats also enjoy a 400,000-voter advantage In Pennsylvania’s historically pro-union Democratic strongholds and control most local offices in those parts of the state, but Madonna sees a gradual trend toward the GOP — especially on cultural issues.

“Many of these people are culturally conservative,” Madonna told TheDC. “These are many of the same people who Obama said ‘cling to their guns and religion.’”

  • http://www.facebook.com/people/Dave-Francis/100002158029860 Dave Francis


    There is partisan bickering between Rick Perry and Mitt Romney’s race to the
    White House, with other contenders who seem to be slipping to the rear, except
    for Michelle Bachmann. This great lady and Herman Cain could change the poorly
    legislated course of this country. Both have sincere involvement in stopping
    the illegal alien invasion. Rick Perry’s immigration policies resonate as
    pretty poor, seeing he has no claims to stopping any type of amnesty. Perry now
    must be getting adverse murmurs from pro-sovereignty Tea Party members, as he
    talked with the controversial Sheriff Arpaio of Maricopa County, Arizona, as
    have Bachmann and Herman Cain. My guess is the predominate issue of illegal
    immigration and the border fence is going to be high on the agenda in the 2012
    election cycle.


    Rick Perry should also communicate
    with Tom Tancredo, State Senator Russell Pierce and Governor Jan Brewer of
    Arizona, to see how illegal’s. Theft of jobs, welfare and public assistance has
    been shifted from Americans to foreign nationals. Let him ask about schools
    clogged with children of foreigners, the closing emergency rooms that were
    overrun by the uninsured and a prison system swamped with non-speaking-English
    unauthorized immigrants. If you were an
    illegal pregnant female from a third world country, wouldn’t you want to come
    here if Health and Human Services” handed you a debit card? In most states this
    happens, for food stamps and cash payments, along with many entitlements
    regular Americans cannot get?


    Every prudential contender would be
    well advised to read the immigration sullen statistics advanced by “The
    Heritage Foundation” Can we afford 2.5 Trillion dollars to legitimize
    the 20 million plus Illegal’s who have settled here? That is what the Heritage
    Foundation has forecasts. Not all Tea Partier’s have excellent grades from NumbersUSA
    that will halt the illegal alien occupation.  Rick Perry specifically has,
    and neither Mitt Romney, with a poor record on the same irritating problem.


    None of America’s problems will fade
    away if the Acorn group start spitting out their depraved lies and start their
    crusade again of intimidation and fraud as they have in the past.  Do we
    remember ACORN!  (Association of Community Organizations for Reform Now)
    Of course we do? Has the criminal enterprise gone for good? No! Acorns original
    financial buoyancy supported was 400,000 dues-paying members and on a
    nationwide basis, 1,200 Chapters with millions of dollars coming from unaware
    taxpayers. Eventually, ACORN was indicted for numerous reports of fraudulent
    voter registrations, voter-rigging, voter intimidation, and vote-for-pay scams
    in a dozens of states, inclusive of Pennsylvania.


    Even though they decided to disband
    the organization and file for bankruptcy, they are back under new business
    names.  Despite the November 2010 bankruptcy filing and ACORN continues to
    operate. Project Vote and ACORN Housing, renamed Affordable Housing Centers of
    America, are still is business. According to “Subversion Inc.,” ACORN
    officials openly acknowledge the network is reforming and will re-emerge soon
    in an effort to help re-elect President Obama in 2012. Obama has had a warm and
    long-term relationship with the Association of Community Organizations for
    Reform Now (Acorn), the largest radical group in the United States. The Motor
    Voter law was correctly identified as a catalyst of vote fraud and the
    crowning glory of ACORN. Absentee Ballots must be carefully scrutinized for
    forged signatures and rigorously checked, as the Electoral process could end up
    a disaster.


    You can uncover the ugly facts by
    just typing into Google “ROTTENACORN” May be most Americans
    are oblivious to this, but
    according to RottenAcorn, “Before “subprime” became a
    household word, ACORN waded into the mortgage market, supporting policies that
    helped lay the groundwork for the catastrophic lending collapse of 2008.
    Working with another activist group, the Center for Responsible Lending, ACORN
    lobbied legislators and banks to ensure that any person, regardless of credit
    history, income, or assets, would qualify for a mortgage. They mastered the art
    of pressuring banks – often through radical and controversial methods – to
    provide subprime loans to all comers. It was many of these “toxic” loans that
    defaulted and sparked the subprime mortgage crisis.” It’s a fact that
    by pressuring the banks to allow mortgages to the lowest of income earners and
    illegal aliens, the whole real estate industry came crashing down; leading to
    the largest foreclosure rate since the Savings and loans debacle.




    My vote is going to whoever is the
    frontrunner of the Tea Party, as well as my family, as both Democrats and
    Democrats have their own decisive agenda’s. Each administration has refused to
    build the real double fence or enforce the 1986 Immigration Control and reform
    act. The TEA PARTY will improve on both of these “Rules of Law” and
    stick like glue to the contents of the U.S. Constitution. As In Article IV,
    Section 4.: The United States shall guarantee to every State in this Union a
    Republican Form of Government, and shall protect each of them against
    Invasion; and on Application of the Legislature, or of the Executive (when
    the Legislature cannot be convened) against domestic Violence.


    The flood of illegal workers almost
    certainly constitutes an invasion. The TEA PARTY will table any form of Amnesty
    or Immigration Reform and will apply the statutes in the 1986 Simpson/Mazzoli
    with strict enforcement according to the bill. Any Sanctuary City or State
    ordinances designed to cater to illegal aliens, will lose federal funding and
    expect ICE sweeps in the future. E-Verify and “Secure Communities”
    will no longer be a voluntary measure, but applied as a mandate to every state.
    The TEA PARTY will amend the 14th Amendment, so 300.000 children of illegal
    aliens annually can no longer get a foothold in America, to ransack the
    people’s welfare programs and public assistance.



    All new laws will be designed to
    stop economic illegal aliens from the financial avalanche that is happening now,
    which includes CHAIN MIGRATION. Each and every Immigration Reform package
    harvests millions more people CHAIN MIGRATION, which includes the State Dream
    Acts. All visas will be decided on the skills and qualifications of the person
    who wishes to immigrate and unwelcome illegal newcomers will be punished
    harshly for entry. Only the TEA PARTY will enforce our laws, as signified in
    the living US Constitution. The $113 Billion dollars illegally collected by the
    IRS to benefit illegal aliens must be ended for good and not be further
    spiraling out of control because each government refuses to enforce the laws.
    Blue states like the Sanctuary state of California, must be watched by unbiased
    referees, to contain illegal aliens from voting. California’s, Nevada’s lax
    voting laws, need to be revised so everybody must show to forms of official ID,
    with violators of the law heavy fines and a term in prison.


    As a postscript, that tomorrow
    President Obama is going to offer a speech on jobs in construction specifically
    repairing Bridges and highways.  We must insure illegal aliens are not
    employed by criminal contractors, who have encourages this type of violation of
    our laws.  Be a “whistle-blower” if you find individuals, who seem
    suspicious in your occupation and inform ICE or local police Department. Read
    all the incendiary newspaper and media articles at “American Patrol”
    that sends the Liberal propaganda activists slinking in dark corners. Lastly,
    learn of the rot that has propagated in Washington and individual States at “Judicial

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