Politics

Republican Jeff Flake’s internal polls show him leading Senate campaign rival Richard Carmona by six points

Alexis Levinson Political Reporter
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Pushing back on an internal Democratic poll showing Democrat candidate Richard Carmona ahead in the Arizona Senate race, Republican Jeff Flake’s campaign released its own internal poll showing Flake ahead by six points.

The poll, conducted by the Tarrance Group, has Flake leading Carmona, 49 percentage points to 43, with eight percent of voters undecided. The internal poll released by the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee found Carmona ahead by two points.

Flake’s internals show he and Carmona each getting 86 percent of the vote from their respective parties. The Democratic numbers had Flake getting just 73 percent of the Republican vote, while Carmona got 84 percent of the Democratic vote.

Independent voters are split, according to Flake’s poll, with 43 percent saying they would vote for Flake and 44 percent saying they would vote for Carmona.

The poll also found Flake leading among early voters, 51 percent of whom said they planned to vote for him.

The poll sampled 453 likely registered voters in the state from Oct. 7-9. The sample was 39 percent registered Republicans, 32 percent registered Democrats and 29 percent registered independents.

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Alexis Levinson