The Daily Caller

The Daily Caller

Gallup report: GOP unlikely to gain much traction with Latinos

Photo of Neil Munro
Neil Munro
White House Correspondent

That big-government skew was solidified by the 2008 meltdown of the decade-long property bubble. Many Latinos lost jobs, housing and wealth, increasing their support in 2008 for the Democratic Party’s candidates.

The GOP’s high-point came in 2004, when President George W. Bush won 40 percent of the Latino vote.

That high score came amid a housing boom that provided construction work to many Latino citizens, residents and immigrants, and against a Democratic candidate who was widely seen as an out-of-touch Massachusetts millionaire.

But the 2012 data shows the GOP’s base among Latinos to be roughly 25 percent.

“When accounting for ‘leaners,’ — independents who [usually] prefer one party over the other — 51% of Hispanics identify or lean with the Democratic Party and 24% opt for the Republican Party,” said the report.

Opinion among Latino youth is similar, says the report.

“Half of young U.S. Hispanic adults (50%) identify with or lean toward the Democratic Party, while slightly less than a quarter (24%) identify as or lean Republican [and] another 22% are “pure” independents,” it said.

The report also said the Latino support for the Democrats is very broad, and is similar to African-Americans’ 79 percent support for Democratic candidates.

“Hispanic adults more closely resemble non-Hispanic blacks rather than non-Hispanic whites in terms of having a cohesive political identity that remains intact across all age groups.”

However, Gallup’s survey also noted that the GOP leads among white voters — both old and young — who comprise roughly 70 percent of the electorate.

“Middle-aged and older generations among whites strongly back the Republican Party … [among] white Americans, 52% of those aged 35 to 54 and 51% of those aged 55 and older identify as or lean Republican,” said the report.

The GOP also leads among younger white voters.

Forty-four percent are “identifying as or leaning Republican and 41% seeing themselves as Democrats or leaning Democratic,” said the report.

In 2008 and 2012, however, the turnout among GOP supporters was low, aiding President Barack Obama’s victories in Florida, Virginia, Ohio and other Midwest states.

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