Elections

Trump Say Hillary’s Post-Convention Bump ‘Is Coming To An End,’ Citing Zobgy Poll

Donald Trump Getty Images/Ralph Freso

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On Tuesday afternoon, Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump blasted out an email — two identical emails, actually — declaring that his yawning polling deficit behind Hillary Clinton in the wake of last month’s Democratic National Convention will soon disappear.

“Eric, did you see Mr. Trump’s tweet?” the email begins.

“Hillary’s post-convention bump is coming to an end,” the missive then announces. “This is our moment to show the country we’re ready to WIN.”

Trump tweet screen capture

Trump tweet screen capture

The email also seeks “an urgent contribution right away” to help the Trump campaign “surge past Hillary in the polls.” The suggested donation range is between $25 and $100.

The Daily Caller received the email from donaldjtrump.com twice — once at 4:37 p.m. and again at 4:51 p.m.

The email is signed: Brad Parscale, Team Trump.

Parscale is a web designer based in San Antonio and one of Trump’s earliest hires for his presidential campaign.

The tweet mentioned in the email is a Tuesday story by Washington Examiner reporter Paul Bedard.

“The convention polling bumps for Democrat Hillary Rodham Clinton and Republican Donald Trump are over,” Bedard writes, “and they are practically even, according to a new poll of likely voters.”

The poll Bedard cites was conducted by Zogby Analytics.

“Clinton and Trump in Statistical Tie; Trump Has Closed the Gap Among Older Millennials,” the Zogby poll headline states.

According to the Zogby poll, 38 percent of 1,277 likely U.S. voters favor Clinton while 36 percent favor Trump. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson receives support from 8 percent of the likely voters polled. Green Party candidate polls at 5 percent.

The margin of error in the poll is 2.8 percent, according to Zogby. The poll was conducted on August 12 and 13.

Zogby Analytics does not appear to describe how the likely voters were contacted, or what their party affiliations are.

“Since our last poll in early July, Clinton still maintains a small 2 percent lead over Trump,” Zobgy analyzes. “It seems the convention bumps are behind us and we are back to a close race.”

The Zogby poll is currently an outlier. Most polls now show Clinton leading Trump by 6.7 percent in a two-way race. In a four-way race (with Johnson and Stein), Clinton leads Trump by 6.2 percent.

Pollster Nate Silver has Clinton up nationally by 4.8 percent.

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