Supporters of Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton will most likely vote for Republicans in Senate and House races, according to a USA Today poll published Friday.
Thirty-two percent of Clinton supporters said they were “very likely” to split their ticket, while an additional 20 percent reported they are “somewhat likely,” bringing the total to 52 percent, a solid majority. That means, a majority of voters who plan to vote for Clinton will support Republicans running for other offices in their respective district.
Supporters of Republican nominee Donald Trump said they planned to vote a straight Republican ticket, meaning they would only vote for Republican candidates. Thirty-three percent reported they definitely planned to vote a straight ticket, with an additional 20 percent reporting they are “not very likely” to support any Democratic candidates for office.
Self-described moderates were more likely to split their votes, with 41 percent in favor of splitting. Perhaps the most crucial demographic for Sen. John McCain of Arizona, and Senator Marco Rubio of Florida are Hispanic voters. Thirty-seven percent of Hispanic voters plan to support Clinton for the White House, and Republicans for every other office.
The poll is good news for Republicans running for Senate and House offices this year. Five Senate races are hotly contested, and have received close to $100 million in ad spending and other services from outside groups over the summer. Several of the states, including New Hampshire, have more registered Democrats than Republicans, meaning GOP Senators could use any Democratic vote they can get.
Ohio, Pennsylvania, Nevada, New Hampshire, and Wisconsin received the majority of outside aid, but the Senate Leadership Fund also supported vulnerable Republicans in other states, including Missouri.
The USA Today/Suffolk University poll surveyed 483 Clinton supporters, and carried a margin of error of 4.5 percent in either direction.
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