Donald Trump holds a solid double-digit lead over Hillary Clinton in Utah, with independent candidate Evan McMullin coming in third place in a poll released Sunday.
The Trafalgar Group poll has Trump at 39.95 percent, Clinton at 29.52 percent, McMullin at 24.52 percent, and Libertarian Gary Johnson at 3.89 percent. The poll was conducted from November 3 to November 5 and was of 1,352 likely general election voters. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.67 percent.
McMulin, a conservative Mormon, has been campaigning heavily in Utah and mid-October polls showed him within single-digits of Trump. Trump has since extended his lead over the independent candidate. Republican vice-presidential candidate Mike Pence even visited Utah as fears were mounting that the deep-red state could be won by an independent candidate.
Trafalgar Group senior strategist Robert Cahaly said: “Having done a lot of work in the state, we know from experience, that Utah contested general elections are now fought and won in October. Most Utah counties have replaced traditional election day voting at a polling location with mail-in balloting or in-person advanced voting. In fact every voter in those counties was mailed a ballot in early October. Trump has a significant lead now and a slight lead among those who have already voted.”
Cahaly said he expects “Trump will have a strong plurality win in Utah.”