Ladbrokes, the legendary London-based gambling firm, has set the odds that President Donald Trump will win the 2017 Nobel Peace Prize at 20/1.
This pair of numbers, 20/1, translates to just under a 5 percent chance. It means that gamblers who successfully bet that Trump will win the 2017 Nobel Peace Prize will pocket $20 for every $1 they bet on Trump. (They’ll also get their bet back.)
Ladbrokes Shutterstock/Tupungato
To provide some perspective for the 20/1 odds on Trump winning the vaunted Nobel Peace Prize this year, consider current Super Bowl odds. According to Fox Sports, just nine NFL teams have odds better than 20-to-1 of winning the Super Bowl.
According to Fox Sports estimates and Ladbrokes odds, the remaining 23 NFL teams are less likely to win the Super Bowl than Trump is likely to win this year’s Nobel Peace Prize.
The 2016 Nobel Peace Prize went to Juan Manuel Santos, the president of Colombia “for his resolute efforts to bring the country’s more than 50-year-long civil war to an end.”
Former President Barack Obama won the Nobel Peace Prize in 2009. The Oslo, Norway-based committee which determines winners of the award announced that Obama would receive the award — “for his extraordinary efforts to strengthen international diplomacy and cooperation between peoples” — just over eight months after he became president. (RELATED: Nobel Peace Prize-Winning Obama Has Been At War LONGER THAN ANY OTHER American President)
Ladbrokes is currently offering other Trump-related bets as well.
The company’s odds that Trump won’t be reelected in 2020 are 2/5. Its odds that Trump will serve two full terms are 6/1. Its odds that Trump will visit Russia in 2017 are 2/1.
Ladbrokes has set the odds that Trump will leave office under the disgrace of impeachment or resignation during his current term at 4/5.
This pair of numbers, 4/5, means that Trump’s first-term impeachment or resignation will net successful bettors $4 for every $5 they bet on Trump (and a refund on their bet).
These odds translate to roughly a 56 percent chance Trump will resign or be impeached.
On Monday Fox News analyst Juan Williams wrote an op-ed in The Hill suggesting that “the drip-drip-drip of the Trump-Russia investigations is draining this presidency of political capital” and that “the odds of a Trump resignation or impeachment before 2020 are looking better by the day.”
In a statement provided to The Independent, a British online newspaper, a Ladbrokes representative indicated that many gamblers are betting against Trump.
“The money is showing no signs of slowing down and we’ve been forced to cut Trump’s impeachment odds accordingly,” the Ladbrokes representative said.
“We’ve taken five times the amount of bets on him failing to see out his full term than on him doing so.”
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