One of President Obama’s core constituencies in 2008 was independent women, but polling suggests that if Republicans nominate former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee in 2012, Obama may have difficulty with that demographic and winning a second term.
A CNN poll conducted just after the midterm election showed Huckabee defeating Obama in a general-election match-up, 52 percent to 44, while Obama defeated former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin (R) by the inverse, 52 percent to 44 percent.
The reason for the huge difference? Women. Obama led Huckabee by only 2 percent among that group, but he led Palin by 15.
In a Quinnipiac survey of the 2012 race released on Monday, Huckabee performed 7 percent better than Palin with women in a match-up against Obama, and when it came to favorability ratings, he had a net rating that was 33 percent higher than the former Alaska governor’s.
But that’s assuming Huckabee can actually get to a general election.
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