Watch out, Hillary: A new poll suggests the Democratic front runner is way behind top Republicans in Colorado, a state Barack Obama carried twice in his own presidential runs. In fact, Clinton may even be losing to Donald Trump by double digits.
The new poll, prepared by Quinnipiac University, tested potential Democratic candidates Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders in potential match-ups against Donald Trump, Ben Carson, Ted Cruz, and Marco Rubio. In every single hypothetical match-up, the Republican came out ahead. Often, it wasn’t even close.
Rubio is favored over Clinton 52 percent to 36 percent, a staggering 16 percentage point lead. Carson leads her 52-38, Cruz 51-38, and Trump 48-37. Sanders fares a little better, losing to Rubio and Carson by 13 and 12 points, respectively, but only trailing Trump by 2 points and Cruz by 7.
The poll also gauged likely primary voters about the nomination races within each party. Among Democrats, Clinton leads Sanders 55 percent to 27 percent, with Martin O’Malley a distant third with 2 percent support. Among Republicans, Carson finished on top with 25 percent support, followed by Rubio at 19 percent, Trump at 17 percent, and Cruz at 14 percent.
The new poll should be deeply worrisome to Clinton’s campaign. Obama easily carried Colorado by over 5 percent in his 2012 win over Mitt Romney, and the state is a critical one for Clinton to hang onto if she wants to win in 2016. Furthermore, Quinnipiac is a mainstream, respected pollsters, not a minor unreliable outfit. The poll could still be a statistical outlier, but the Republican lead is so immense that candidates like Rubio would still lead after a big shift in Clinton’s favor.
Still, it’s worth noting that Quinnipiac has been quite favorable towards Republicans in polls this cycle. A recent national poll, for instance, showed even weaker Republicans like Chris Christie with a significant lead over Clinton, while other pollsters have failed to produce such pro-Republican outcomes.
The survey’s sample size consists of 1,262 Colorado voters and the poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.8 percentage points. The survey was conducted Nov. 11-15.
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