Race Will Probably Play A Decisive Role In The General Election


Alex Pfeiffer White House Correspondent
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General election match-up polls overall show Hillary Clinton with a solid lead over Donald Trump, but when broken down by race, voters are split on the two candidates.

The most recent poll of the likely general election match-up shows Clinton leading Trump by 13, 54 percent to 41 percent. However in that same poll Trump leads Clinton among white voters 52 percent to 43 percent, while Clinton holds a massive lead over Trump with non-white voters, 81 percent to 14 percent.

This mass disparity between the two candidates when it comes to voters in different races is not an outlier. In a mid-April George Washington University poll which shows Clinton leading Trump overall 46 percent to 43 percent, Trump leads Hillary 50 percent to 37 percent among white voters. And while Trump says he “loves the blacks” they strongly reject him in the poll, 91 percent to 7 percent.

In Trump’s announcement speech, he mentioned that some Mexican illegal immigrants are “rapists.” Now close to 90 percent of Hispanics hold an unfavorable view of the presumptive GOP nominee. A recent poll of 2,000 Latino registered voters found that 87 viewed him unfavorably.

At the same time that Trump is struggling with Latinos and blacks, Clinton isn’t faring too strongly with white voters. She is still stuck facing primary competition unlike Donald Trump, mainly due to the fact that Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders is dominating in heavily-white populated states. In Indiana, where Sanders won Tuesday exit polling showed he won nearly 60 percent of the white vote.

“Why do you think she was in Coal Country?” Republican strategist Phillip Stutts told The Daily Caller Thursday about Hillary’s struggles with white voters. (RELATED: Laid Off Coal Worker Confronts Hillary Over Her Promise To Eradicate Industry [VIDEO])

This sentiment was echoed by rural Democratic strategist Dave “Mudcat” Saunders who told TheDC last week, “I know less than half a dozen white male Democrats in my part of the world who are going to vote for Hillary.”

Stutts laid out to TheDC what he viewed as the “Trump Coalition.” “The path they feel like they can make is that they got to win the full Republican voter support, they got to bring in enough black and Hispanic voters but the one pocket that no one is really taking about that they think they can bring in, and I’m not sure if they can legitimately do this or not, is new voters,” Stutts said.

He continued to say, “The kind that turned out in primaries all over this country in overwhelming numbers, in the kind of primary turnout numbers that we’ve never seen before. I think they think they can do that on a national level in a general election strategy, and that’s the coalition.”

“Otherwise, there’s no chance,” Stutts said.

Romney lost in 2012 while winning nearly 60 percent of the white vote, so Clinton is still able to win with the overwhelming support of minorities. (RELATED: With A Single-Digit Increase In The Share Of The Vote, Trump Could Secure The White House)

“She’s got to try to re-energize the Obama coalition to overwhelm what Trump is going to try and put together for his coalition,” Stutts said.

We will have to wait to see if she can get the younger voters who were part of the Obama coalition, as they favored Sanders heavily this cycle. Clinton has fared strongly with black voters, as the group carried her to victory in southern Democratic states where she gained over 80 percent of their support.

Regarding Latino voters, Clinton is already well on her way to do that with Spanish-language attack ads.