Elections

POLL: Clinton Outpaces Trump In This Historically Republican State

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Phillip Stucky Political Reporter
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Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton outpaced Republican front-runner Donald Trump in an Arizona poll published Wednesday.

Over 46 percent of likely voters living in Arizona support the Democratic presumptive nominee, according to an OH Insights poll, which surveyed 1,060 likely voters across the state. If the general election were held today, Clinton would break a 64-year-old Republican Party win record in the state.

Conversely, 42.2 percent of voters support Trump, while the remainder polled support a third-party candidate.

Support for each candidate varied widely based on region. Mostly rural areas leaned towards Trump, while the densely populated Pima county gave Clinton a 17-point lead over the business mogul.

Women in Arizona also favored Clinton over Trump, giving the former secretary a 12-point lead among that demographic.

Clinton managed to earn 82.3 percent support from Democrats, while Trump earned 78.2 percent of Republican support. (RELATED: Poll: Nearly Half Of Sander Supporters Won’t Back Clinton) 

Clinton’s recent poll number of 46.5 percent support is statistically consistent with the past numbers of completely different candidates — negative perceptions like “establishment” beliefs minimally affect voter attitudes in Arizona.

“Every statewide office in Arizona is held by a Republican, with a significant majority in the state House and Senate … Arizona should be a reliably red state,” Wes Gullett, GOP consultant stated about the poll results.

The only other time Arizona went blue was in 1996, when it voted 44 percent for Republican Candidate Bob Dole, and 46.5 percent for former President Bill Clinton.

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