Elections

Trump Edges Out Clinton In New National Poll

REUTERS/Carlo Allegri

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Phillip Stucky Political Reporter
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Presumptive Republican nominee Donald Trump increased his lead with young and Latino voters to overtake presumptive Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton in the latest head to head national poll published Thursday.

Trump leads Clinton 43-39 percent in the Rasmussen poll, with 12 percent of likely voters saying they supported another candidate, and 5 percent declining to answer the question.

The poll shows support fro Trump has increased dramatically,

Days after three suicide bombers killed more than 40 people at a Turkish airport, the poll shows Trump’s support has increased dramatically. More than 75 percent of Republicans now support the presumptive nominee, up from 65 percent just last week. Trump also has 14 percent of Democrats in his corner.

Because the bombing occurred during the polling, it’s difficult to say that the turnaround was a simple result of American’s reacting to the terror attack. Other factors, such as Trump’s increased use of a teleprompter in his speeches, increased fundraising efforts, and several announcements of top Walker, Cruz, and Rubio advisors joining the campaign likely factored into the change.

Clinton has a three point lead over Trump in the Real Clear Politics polling average.

Clinton had similar numbers among Democrats at 76 percent support in the poll, although she drew fewer voters across the aisle, 10 percent of Republicans supported Clinton. Trump also shortened Clinton’s lead among young voters, as the two candidates are tied with voters under 40. Trump has a significant lead on voters older than 40.

Clinton draws support from women and black voters, while Trump’s strengths included white men, older voters, and minority voters who weren’t black, such Latino voters.

The poll published Thursday surveyed 1,000 likely voters across the nation. The poll used a 50-50 mix of cell phone and landline numbers. The polling took place June 28 through June 29, on the heels of the bombing of the Turkish airport on the 28th.

Last week Rasmussen reported Clinton at 44 percent compared to Trump at 39 percent. After a weak showing in fundraising for May, Trump launched a series of fundraising emails that netted the candidate over $11 million over the course of last week, a fact the campaign has made sure to trumpet in any forum it can.

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