Trump Edges Out Clinton In Iowa Poll

REUTERS/Mike Segar

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Phillip Stucky Political Reporter
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Republican nominee Donald Trump narrowly led Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton in the most recent statewide Iowa poll published Monday by Simpson College.

Trump earned 40 percent with likely Iowa voters, and Clinton trailed slightly with 39 percent of the vote. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson carried 10 percent, and Green Party nominee Jill Stein trailed at 3 percent. Eight percent of voters remained undecided, indicating there was room for improvement for either major party nominee.

Trump still led Clinton in a two-way poll, earning 43 percent compared to Clinton’s 2 percent. Statistics site 538 gives Clinton a slight edge in winning the state, but not much. Clinton has a 52.2 percent chance of winning, and Trump has a 47.4 percent chance.

“This poll shows that both Trump and Clinton have a loyal, dug-in base of support showing little movement, even when Iowa voters are given an alternative candidate from which to choose,” Simpson college professor Kedron Bardwell said in the official statement. “The campaigns of both Trump and Clinton have even more reason to ratchet up their ground games to make sure the votes are there on election day.”

Trump failed to earn a majority of support among men at 44 percent, although he did earn more than Clinton’s 34 percent. Clinton earned 43 percent of women voters in the state. Trump still trailed with college-aged voters, only earning 36 percent compared to Clinton’s 42 percent support with the same demographic.

The poll included 1,054 registered voters, and was conducted from Sept. 6 through Sept. 8. The poll carried a margin of error of 3 percentage points in either direction.

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