Republican nominee Donald Trump gained the lead in a state assumed by pundits to be safe for Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton, according to a new Colorado CNN poll Monday.
Trump edged ahead of Clinton at 42 percent to 41 percent. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson earned an astounding 13 percent in the race, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein only earned three percent in the four-way Colorado poll.
Statistics site 538 gives Clinton a 56.9 percent chance of winning the state, and University of Virginia’s Center for Politics currently rates the state of Colorado as a “leans Democratic” state in light of recent polling. Clinton had a seven point lead in recent polling, but the two major party candidates switched places in other polls.
CNN also conducted a statewide poll in Pennsylvania, where Clinton barely edged out Trump 45 percent to 44 percent. Johnson earned a paltry six percent, and Stein stood steady at three percent.
Pundits are less sure about where Pennsylvania will fall in November. The Center for Politics lists Pennsylvania as a state that “leans Democratic,” while 538 gives Clinton a 64.1 percent chance of winning the race in the state.
Clinton made gains with college-educated white voters, earning 11 percent more than Trump in both states, whereas Trump earned a majority with white voters without a college education, leading Clinton by 19 points in Pennsylvania and 22 points in Colorado in that demographic.
The head-to-head match-ups give Clinton a slight edge. Clinton leads Trump 50 percent to 47 percent in Pennsylvania, and 49 percent to 47 percent in Colorado.
The CNN/ORC poll surveyed 784 likely voters in Colorado, and 771 likely voters in Pennsylvania. The results for likely voters included a margin of error of 3.5 percent.
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