Trump Ties In Traditionally Dem Iowa

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Phillip Stucky Political Reporter
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Republican nominee Donald Trump led Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton in an Iowa poll conducted by Loras College Monday, falling slightly in the statewide average.

Iowa voted for the Democratic candidate six out of the last seven presidential elections. Iowa chose former Vice President Al Gore in 2000, but narrowly selected President George W. Bush in 2004. The state selected President Barack Obama with a slim majority in 2008 and 2012.

Trump tied Clinton at 38 percent in the four-way race, Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson earned 9 percent, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein earned a paltry 1 percent. Thirteen percent of likely voters remained undecided in the poll.

Clinton fell from 44 percent in June’s Loras University Iowa poll, and Trump rose from 31 percent to meet Clinton in the middle.

Neither major party candidate was favored, even within their respective parties. Only 38 percent of likely voters reported they felt satisfied with the presidential candidates, compared to 58 percent who reported they were dissatisfied.

A fair majority, 57 percent, reported they felt the country was on the wrong track, compared to only 28 percent who felt the country was on the right track.

Statistics site 538 gives Trump a 70.7 percent chance of winning the state, due to recent polling that shows Trump in the lead through much of September. University of Virginia’s Center for Politics is not quite as optimistic, ranking the state “leans Republican,” instead of a safer rating.  The Real Clear Average gives Trump a 4.8 percent lead, earning 45.3 percent to Clinton’s 40.5 percent.

Loras University polled 491 likely voters from Sept. 20 through Sept. 22. The margin of error in the poll is 4.4 percentage points in either direction.

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