Clinton Carries Lead In New National Poll

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Phillip Stucky Political Reporter
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Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton leads Republican nominee Donald Trump in the latest NBC/Survey Monkey national poll released Wednesday.

Clinton earns 46 percent, compared to Trump’s fairly stable 40 percent mark. Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson falls as a share of the total slightly to nine percent, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein remains steady at 3 percent.

Clinton still leads Trump in the head-to-head poll as well, hitting the 50 percent mark, compared to Trump’s 44 percent with likely voters.

Clinton also maintains her lead with women voters, earning 52 percent compared to Trump’s comparatively dismal 34 percent among likely women voters. Johnson claimed 8 percent of women voters, and Stein captured 3 percent.

Trump leads with men, but by a much smaller margin than Clinton leads with women. Trump carries 47 percent, compared to Clinton’s 38 percent. Johnson earns 11 percent, and Stein earns three percent in the male demographic.

Trump lost ground with the crucial married women group. Trump enjoyed a lead with married women as late as September. Clinton now leads with the group, earning 48 percent compared to Trump’s 40 percent.

The poll also reveals that many voters still don’t know much about the vice presidential candidates. Forty percent of voters report they don’t know Tim Kaine, while only 33 percent don’t know Mike Pence. Pence did receive higher unfavorables, with 31 percent of likely voters reporting they held an unfavorable opinion of the Republican vice presidential pick. A comparatively smaller 26 percent held the same view of Kaine.

The Real Clear Average gives Clinton a 3.7 percent lead over Trump, with Clinton at 44.3 percent, Trump at 40.6 percent, Johnson at 7.4 percent, and Stein at 2.6 percent.

The NBC/SurveyMonkey weekly tracking poll began Sept. 26 and continued through Oct. 2. The sample included 26,925 likely voters, and included an error estimate of 1 percentage point in either direction.

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