Undecideds Fuel Trump’s Rise In Recent Poll

Reuters/Carlos Allegri

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Phillip Stucky Political Reporter
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Republican nominee Donald Trump increased nearly 6 percent to statistically tie with Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton in the latest Red Oak Strategic poll published Tuesday.

Undecided voters made up most of that rise, as 8.3 percent of undecided voters selected their candidate. Trump benefited from the majority of those voters, but Clinton also gained from the last poll. Trump increased 5.7 percent, and Clinton’s numbers increased 3.5 percent.

Clinton still maintained a slight lead, earning 37.1 percent compared to Trump’s 36.6 percent. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson fell .7 percent to 5.9 percent in the latest poll. Green Party candidate Jill Stein remained stable at 2.3 percent in the polls. The fact that no candidate lost points means that Independent voters are starting to settle on their candidate, and for 5.7 percent of voters, that candidate is Donald Trump.

Perhaps most troubling for Clinton is the fact that the Democratic nominee only earned 70 percent of those who voted for President Barack Obama in 2012. Ten percent of those who voted for Obama plan to vote for Trump in November, according to the poll.

Clinton does lead with those who consider themselves to be Democrats, however. Eight-four percent of Democrats support Clinton, compared to 76.6 of Republicans to support Trump.

Interestingly, Clinton chipped away at one of Trump’s largest supporting groups: those who don’t have a college education. Clinton leads with those who have a college education, but now she also leads with voters who didn’t graduate from High School.

Trump still leads with those who graduated High School, as well as those with some college experience.

24 percent of black voters supported Trump in the poll, although it should be noted that blacks only made up 5.6 percent of the population. Trump won with white voters, while Clinton led among Hispanic voters in the poll.

Clinton holds a 2.2 percent lead in the nationwide Real Clear Average, earning 47.5 percent compared to Trump’s 45.3 percent in the head to head polling.

The poll included 943 likely voters nationwide, and was conducted from Oct. 27 through Oct. 28. The main poll carried a margin of error of 3.7 percent in either direction.

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