Politics

Trump And Biden Are Tied In Florida, NBC News Poll Finds — Trump Leads Among Latino Voters, Biden Leads Among Seniors

(Photo by MANDEL NGAN/AFP via Getty Images)

Christian Datoc Senior White House Correspondent
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Florida is on track to be a tossup in the 2020 general election, a new poll published Monday by NBC News finds.

NBC surveyed 766 likely voters between August 31-September 6 and found that 48 percent of respondents plan to vote for both Trump and Biden in November. The race appears to show a dramatic shift from the 2016 election results, as Trump (50) leads Biden (46) by 4 points among likely Latino voters, while the former VP (49) leads POTUS (48) by 1 point when it comes to seniors.

MIDDLETOWN, PENNSYLVANIA - SEPTEMBER 07: Wearing a face mask to reduce the risk posed by the coronavirus, Democratic presidential candidate and former Vice President Joe Biden prepares to board an airplane after meeting with local labor leaders at the state's AFL-CIO headquarters on Labor Day, September 07, 2020 in Middletown, Pennsylvania. Due to the ongoing coronavirus pandemic, Biden's campaign has organized more virtual events, engaging with supporters using video teleconferencing. (Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)

MIDDLETOWN, PENNSYLVANIA – SEPTEMBER 07: Wearing a face mask to reduce the risk posed by the coronavirus, Democratic presidential candidate and former Vice President Joe Biden prepares to board an airplane (Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)

NBC notes that former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton carried 62 percent of Florida’s Latino voters in 2016, compared to 35 percent for Trump. Likewise, Trump bested Clinton by 17 points (57-40) among senior citizens. (EXCLUSIVE: We Got Our Hands On Trump’s Internal Issue Polling — Jobs, Economy And COVID-19 Take Priority Over Racial Issues, Law And Order)

A related poll from the Miami Herald published Monday found that Latino voters in Miami-Dade County preferred Trump over Biden by 1 percent, but Cuban-American voters in the area favored Trump by 38 percent.

“If you’re the Biden campaign, looking at these numbers, I think there’s reason for pause,” Fernand Amandi, a Democratic strategist behind the poll said of its findings. “It might imperil his chances of winning Florida unless there is a massive white voter exodus from Trump in other parts of the state.”

538 similarly reported Monday that Trump’s national support among Latinos — ranging between roughly 25-33 percent — is integral to his reelection chances. (RELATED: For The First Time In Over A Year, CNN’s Poll Has Trump Neck-And-Neck With Biden — Both Nationally And In Battleground States)

Trump campaign manager Bill Stepien told reporters on a call that the campaign’s internal poll numbers suggest the president could win 40 percent of the Latino vote.

The national race has tightened following the conclusion of the Republican and Democratic National Conventions. Real Clear Politics’ national polling average currently gives Biden a 7 point advantage over Trump.