Politics

Three Days Out — Here’s Where The Election Stands

(Brendan Smialowski, Jim Watson/AFP via Getty Images)

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Andrew Trunsky Elections Reporter
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With three days until Election Day, President Donald Trump and Democratic nominee Joe Biden are campaigning in Pennsylvania and Michigan, two states that were crucial to the election four years ago.

Trump will hold two rallies in Pennsylvania on Saturday, one in Reading and one in Butler. Biden currently leads in the state by 5.1 points and some forecasts predict will be the tipping point state in deciding the election’s winner,

Biden will campaign in Michigan on Saturday alongside former President Barack Obama, marking the first time the two have campaigned together this cycle. He will hold events in Flint and Detroit.

GRAND RAPIDS, MICHIGAN - OCTOBER 02: Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden delivers remarks in the parking lot of the United Food and Commercial Workers International Union Local 951 while campaigning October 02, 2020 in Grand Rapids, Michigan. (Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)

Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden delivers remarks in the parking lot of the United Food and Commercial Workers International Union Local 951 while campaigning Oct. 02, 2020 in Grand Rapids, Michigan. (Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)

Biden leads by 8.8 points in Michigan, a state that Trump won by fewer than 11,000 votes in 2016.

After campaigning across Georgia on Tuesday alongside the state’s two Democratic senatorial candidates, Biden remained in his home state of Delaware on Wednesday and campaigned across Florida on Thursday. He held events in Iowa, Minnesota and Wisconsin Friday.

Biden leads in Minnesota and Iowa by 8.9 and 0.1 points, respectively, according to FiveThirtyEight. In Wisconsin, a third Rust Belt state that helped seal Trump’s win over Hillary Clinton in 2016, Biden leads by 8.6 points. (RELATED: Biden Holds Widening Lead Over Trump In The Rust Belt)

Trump held rallies in Michigan, Wisconsin and Nebraska on Tuesday, and in Arizona on Wednesday. On Thursday, he campaigned in Florida and was slated to hold a rally in Fayetteville, North Carolina, but it was rescheduled for Monday due to inclement weather.

The president returned to Michigan on Friday before also holding rallies in Green Bay, Wisconsin, and Rochester, Minnesota.

BEMIDJI, MN - SEPTEMBER 18: President Donald Trump speaks to supporters during a rally at the Bemidji Regional Airport on September 18, 2020 in Bemidji, Minnesota. Trump and challenger, Democratic presidential nominee and former Vice President Joe Biden, are both campaigning in Minnesota today. (Photo by Stephen Maturen/Getty Images)

President Donald Trump speaks to supporters during a rally at the Bemidji Regional Airport on September 18, 202. (Stephen Maturen/Getty Images)

Biden also leads Trump in Arizona, North Carolina, Florida and Georgia, where he leads by 3.1, 2.4, 2.1 and 1.6 points, respectively. (RELATED: Trump’s Self-Inflicted Wounds Make For An Unlikely Reelection, Forecasters Say)

The Economist’s forecast gives Trump just a 4% chance at winning reelection, while FiveThirtyEight’s forecast gives the president a 10% chance.

Both forecasts have Democrats favored to flip the Senate and expand their majority the House.

Though Biden is favored, more people have bet on Trump to win reelection, according to OddsChecker.

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