Two Days Out — Here’s Where The Election Stands


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Andrew Trunsky Political Reporter
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Two days out, President Donald Trump and Democratic nominee Joe Biden are campaigning in competitive states across the country in one final push before Election Day.

Trump held two rallies in Pennsylvania on Saturday in Reading and Butler, while Biden spent the day campaigning with former President Barack Obama in Detroit and Flint, Michigan.

Biden leads in Pennsylvania, which some forecasts predict will be the tipping point state, and Michigan by 4.9 and 8.4 points, respectively. Trump won both states by less than one point in 2016.

US President Donald Trump speaks during a rally at Pittsburgh-Butler Regional Airport in Butler, Pennsylvania on October 31, 2020. (Photo by MANDEL NGAN / AFP) (Photo by MANDEL NGAN/AFP via Getty Images)

US President Donald Trump speaks during a rally at Pittsburgh-Butler Regional Airport  (Photo by MANDEL NGAN/AFP via Getty Images)

In Wisconsin, the third Rust Belt state that helped seal Trump’s win over Hillary Clinton, Biden leads by 8.7 points. (RELATED: Biden Holds Widening Lead Over Trump In The Rust Belt)

Trump is set to hold five rallies in five states Sunday, beginning the day in Michigan before traveling to Iowa, North Carolina, Georgia and Florida.

This past week, Trump held rallies in Michigan, Wisconsin and Nebraska, Arizona, Florida and Minnesota. Though he was slated to hold a rally in Fayetteville, North Carolina, Thursday, it was canceled and rescheduled for Monday due to inclement weather.

Biden will travel to Pennsylvania Sunday, where he will deliver remarks in Philadelphia, while vice presidential nominee Kamala Harris will campaign in Georgia and North Carolina.

Biden campaigned across Georgia on Tuesday alongside the state’s two Democratic senatorial candidates, remained in his home state of Delaware on Wednesday and campaigned across Florida on Thursday. He held events in Iowa, Minnesota and Wisconsin on Friday.

BLOOMFIELD HILLS, MI – OCTOBER 31: Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden and former U.S. President Barack Obama make a stop at a canvass kickoff event (Photo by Drew Angerer/Getty Images)

Biden leads in Minnesota, a state which Clinton won four years ago by 8.9 points, according to FiveThirtyEight.

He also leads Trump in ArizonaNorth CarolinaFlorida and Georgia by 3.4, 2.6, 1.9 and 1.6 points, respectively, while Trump leads Biden by 1.8 points in Iowa. (RELATED: Trump’s Self-Inflicted Wounds Make For An Unlikely Reelection, Forecasters Say)

The Economist’s forecast gives Trump just a 4% chance at winning reelection, while FiveThirtyEight’s forecast gives the president a 10% chance.

Both forecasts have Democrats favored to flip the Senate and expand their majority the House.

Though Biden is favored, more people have bet on Trump to win reelection, according to OddsChecker.

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