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‘The Answer: Redistricting’: Frank Luntz Breaks Down Why ‘Red Wave’ Didn’t Happen

[Screenshot CNN]

Brianna Lyman News and Commentary Writer
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Pollster Frank Luntz said Monday on CNN that the red wave likely failed to materialize because of redistricting.

CNN This Morning host Don Lemon asked Luntz “how did so many people, including you, get it so wrong?”

“There is a fear they did not include enough Republicans in their samples. Because we knew from 2016, 2018, and even 2020 that Trump voters tended not to respond to pollsters because they thought that the results would be used against them. So there is an effort to, as you say, over-index, this time,” Luntz said.

Luntz also hypothesized that some voters were undecided and made last minute game-time decisions and went to the polls “wanting to vote one way and they end up voting the other.”

Luntz then said independent voters typically “break 55/45 Republican” but this time “they broke 50/50.”

WATCH:

“That’s a real problem for the GOP. It’s a major drop,” he said. “And one more, Republicans got 5 million more votes for the House than the Democrats. Five million. So why don’t the results show themselves in the congressional races? The answer: redistricting. That had a bigger impact against the GOP than anybody realized and you could not know this until Election Day.”

Michigan is one of several states that saw a redistricting, with Democrats picking up a district while Republicans lost a solidly-red district. Ohio lost a Republican-heavy district as well. (RELATED: CNN Analyst Says It Would Be Difficult For Dems To Make Comeback In House)

Meanwhile in New York, redistricting actually helped Republicans, who flipped four seats including that of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee chairman Sean Patrick Maloney.

Democrats redrew several districts in the state that were tossed out by a judge for being gerrymandered. A special master then redrew the districts, ultimately giving Republicans the upper hand as the districts became more competitive, according to the New York Times.