The Daily Caller logo
US

Trump And Harris Running Neck-And-Neck In Pivotal Swing States, New Polling Shows

Donald Trump Delivers Remarks In Michigan On The Economy

(Photo by Bill Pugliano/Getty Images)

Daily Caller News Foundation logo
Nick Pope Contributor
Font Size:

Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are effectively tied in three pivotal midwestern swing states, according to polling published Saturday by the Trafalgar Group.

The Trafalgar Group’s surveys of likely general election voters show Trump leading within the 2.9% margin of error in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, three of the most important battleground states in the 2024 presidential race. The results indicate that all three states are shaping up to be very competitive on Election Day, which is just 65 days away.

Trafalgar has Trump up by 0.4% in Michigan, leading by 1.1% in Wisconsin and 2.1% in Pennsylvania. Harris narrowly leads in all three states in the RealClearPolitics polling average, with leads of 1.1%, 1.4% and 0.5% in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, respectively. (RELATED: Trump, Harris Locked In Razor-Thin Race Across Battleground States: POLL)

Trump won all three states in the 2016 election before losing them to President Joe Biden in the 2020 race. The 2024 race may also ultimately go the way of the “blue wall” states, as the Trump campaign is projecting that they will only need to win Pennsylvania to win the election, if they can manage to win North Carolina and Georgia.

Renowned pollster Nate Silver wrote Thursday that Pennsylvania is the “tipping-point” state more than one-third of the time in his election forecasting model. The Trump and Harris campaigns have already spent hundreds of millions of dollars on advertising in the state, according to Axios.

All three polls were conducted between Wednesday and Friday, and all three surveys used the same methodology. The Pennsylvania poll surveyed 1,082 respondents, while the sample size for the Wisconsin poll was 1,083 likely voters and the Michigan poll sampled 1,089 people.

Both candidates have been holding events and rallies in the midwestern swing states. The two candidates are scheduled to face off on the debate stage on Sept. 10.

Harris participated in her first sit-down interview since becoming the de facto Democratic nominee in July following President Joe Biden’s July withdrawal from the race. Meanwhile, Trump has participated in numerous interviews, including discussions with non-traditional interviewers like comedian Theo Von and Tesla CEO Elon Musk.

All content created by the Daily Caller News Foundation, an independent and nonpartisan newswire service, is available without charge to any legitimate news publisher that can provide a large audience. All republished articles must include our logo, our reporter’s byline and their DCNF affiliation. For any questions about our guidelines or partnering with us, please contact licensing@dailycallernewsfoundation.org.

PREMIUM ARTICLE: Subscribe To Keep Reading
Sign up

By subscribing you agree to our Terms of Use

 You're signed up!

Sign up

By subscribing you agree to our Terms of Use

 You're signed up!
Sign up

By subscribing you agree to our Terms of Use

 You're signed up!

Sign up

By subscribing you agree to our Terms of Use

You're signed up!
Sign up

By subscribing you agree to our Terms of Use

 You're signed up!

Sign Up

By subscribing you agree to our Terms of Use

 You're signed up!
Sign up

By subscribing you agree to our Terms of Use

 You're signed up!
Sign up

By subscribing you agree to our Terms of Use

You're signed up!
BENEFITS READERS PASS PATRIOTS FOUNDERS
Daily and Breaking Newsletters ✔ ✔ ✔
Daily Caller Shows ✔ ✔ ✔
Ad Free Experience ✔ ✔ ✔
Exclusive Articles ✔ ✔ ✔
Custom Newsletters ✔ ✔ ✔
Editor Daily Rundown ✔ ✔ ✔
Behind The Scenes Coverage ✔ ✔
Award Winning Documentaries ✔ ✔
Patriot War Room ✔ ✔
Patriot Live Chat ✔ ✔
Exclusive Events ✔
Gold Membership Card ✔
Tucker Mug ✔

What does Founders Club include?

Tucker Mug and Membership Card
Founders

Readers,

Instead of sucking up to the political and corporate powers that dominate America, The Daily Caller is fighting for you — our readers. We humbly ask you to consider joining us in this fight.

Now that millions of readers are rejecting the increasingly biased and even corrupt corporate media and joining us daily, there are powerful forces lined up to stop us: the old guard of the news media hopes to marginalize us; the big corporate ad agencies want to deprive us of revenue and put us out of business; senators threaten to have our reporters arrested for asking simple questions; the big tech platforms want to limit our ability to communicate with you; and the political party establishments feel threatened by our independence.

We don't complain -- we can't stand complainers -- but we do call it how we see it. We have a fight on our hands, and it's intense. We need your help to smash through the big tech, big media and big government blockade.

We're the insurgent outsiders for a reason: our deep-dive investigations hold the powerful to account. Our original videos undermine their narratives on a daily basis. Even our insistence on having fun infuriates them -- because we won’t bend the knee to political correctness.

One reason we stand apart is because we are not afraid to say we love America. We love her with every fiber of our being, and we think she's worth saving from today’s craziness.

Help us save her.

A second reason we stand out is the sheer number of honest responsible reporters we have helped train. We have trained so many solid reporters that they now hold prominent positions at publications across the political spectrum. Hear a rare reasonable voice at a place like CNN? There’s a good chance they were trained at Daily Caller. Same goes for the numerous Daily Caller alumni dominating the news coverage at outlets such as Fox News, Newsmax, Daily Wire and many others.

Simply put, America needs solid reporters fighting to tell the truth or we will never have honest elections or a fair system. We are working tirelessly to make that happen and we are making a difference.

Since 2010, The Daily Caller has grown immensely. We're in the halls of Congress. We're in the Oval Office. And we're in up to 20 million homes every single month. That's 20 million Americans like you who are impossible to ignore.

We can overcome the forces lined up against all of us. This is an important mission but we can’t do it unless you — the everyday Americans forgotten by the establishment — have our back.

Please consider becoming a Daily Caller Patriot today, and help us keep doing work that holds politicians, corporations and other leaders accountable. Help us thumb our noses at political correctness. Help us train a new generation of news reporters who will actually tell the truth. And help us remind Americans everywhere that there are millions of us who remain clear-eyed about our country's greatness.

In return for membership, Daily Caller Patriots will be able to read The Daily Caller without any of the ads that we have long used to support our mission. We know the ads drive you crazy. They drive us crazy too. But we need revenue to keep the fight going. If you join us, we will cut out the ads for you and put every Lincoln-headed cent we earn into amplifying our voice, training even more solid reporters, and giving you the ad-free experience and lightning fast website you deserve.

Patriots will also be eligible for Patriots Only content, newsletters, chats and live events with our reporters and editors. It's simple: welcome us into your lives, and we'll welcome you into ours.

We can save America together.

Become a Daily Caller Patriot today.

Signature

Neil Patel