Poll: Clinton Retakes The Lead Thanks To Convention Bump

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Phillip Stucky Political Reporter
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Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton regained her lead in the polls over Republican challenger Donald Trump after she accepted her presidential nomination Thursday evening.

Morning Consult published the most recent poll in the general election Sunday, revealing that Clinton regained her lead over Trump by winning over more women and independents. The poll was conducted Friday and Saturday, the two days following the convention.

Clinton increased her numbers by five points, from 36 percent in last weekend’s Morning Consult poll, to 41 percent Sunday. Trump essentially traded places with Clinton, returning close to his pre-convention numbers, at 36 percent of the vote.

Trump polled at 35 percent and earned a five-point bump after his convention earlier in July. That bump has all but been erased, according to the poll.

Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson has polled consistently, and came in at 11 percent Sunday.

Without a third party challenger, Trump and Clinton still switched places. Trump was previously in the lead at 44 percent to Clinton’s 40 percent. But after the Democratic National Convention, Clinton came in ahead at 43 percent. Trump slid back to numbers similar to pre-convention stats, with 40 percent of the vote.

Close to a fifth of the voters didn’t know, or couldn’t say who they would vote for, leaving plenty of room for improvement for either candidate as the election progresses and more voters make up their minds.

Morning Consult surveyed 1,931 likely voters using cell phone and landlines. The poll has a 2 percentage points margin of error.

In a massive online poll surveying over 23,000 registered voters published by Morning Consult Tuesday, 22 percent of women indicated they were on the fence about who to support, while only 15 percent of men remained undecided.

Clinton lost with independent women after the Republican Convention, but appeared to gain back some of those votes in Sunday’s poll.

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