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ANALYSIS: Four Polls That Will Strike Fear Into The Hearts Of Democrats

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Mary Rooke Staff Writer
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President Joe Biden’s poll numbers are so bad not even Hershey could sugarcoat the Democrats’ bleak future.

Hispanic voters might finally ditch the Democratic Party as their disapproval of Biden’s policies surges in Arizona, California, Florida, and Texas, according to four new Civiqs polls released July 5.


Biden enjoyed a 63% approval rating in July 2021, with only 31% of Hispanic voters in Arizona disapproving of Biden, according to Civiqs. The latest data shows the numbers almost flipped in July 2022, with 51% of Arizona Hispanics disapproving of his job as president and only 34% approving.

In Arizona, Biden is underwater again among young Hispanic voters, according to Civiqs. Only 23% of Hispanic voters 18-34 approve of Biden, while 51% disapprove, the data showed.

Democrat voter Ricardo Aguirre runs two taco trucks in Phoenix, Arizona, called Tamales y Tacos Puebla. Aguirre told Reuters in May that Biden’s inflation crisis could have him switching his vote to the Republican Party. (RELATED: DOJ Sues Arizona For Proof Of Citizenship Requirement To Vote)

“If the Republican Party has something better to offer us, I will vote Republican,” Aguirre told Reuters. He said Republicans are better equipped to handle the economy and would have better success at lowering prices, the outlet reported.


The California Democratic Party’s alliance with Hispanic voters shifted in April 2021 when 54% of California Hispanics said they would vote to recall Democratic California Gov. Gavin Newsom. Newsom survived the voters’ recall attempt, but Biden’s approval ratings aren’t looking as steady, according to Civiqs.

The July 2022 poll reported that 45% of California Hispanics disapprove of Biden, and 37% approve. The poll showed these percentages were opposite in May, with 47% of California Hispanics approving of Biden and 38% disapproving.

The Los Angeles chapter of the California Hispanic Republican Club (LAHRC) told the Daily Caller in June that Hispanic voters are Conservative and don’t approve of the Democratic Party’s policies. (RELATED: Mass Exodus: Nevada Dems Are Fleeing Their Party For The GOP)

“These past two years have shed light on many of the draconian policies and abuses of the current leadership in California and the results of these non-bi-partisan decisions,” the group said.

“Hispanics cannot deny the realities of all those suffering in cities across our country under the mismanagement of local and state resources and offices who fail to hold each other accountable to the public,” LAHRC added. “The Hispanic community cares deeply about faith, family, and opportunity. It’s what we at the LAHRC community are all about.”


Florida was once a swing state, but voter registration data from the Florida Division of Elections showed Republicans added 82,900 more voters since 2020. As of May 31, there were 5,135,749 registered Republicans in the state, while Democrats have 4,959,838 registered voters, the data reported.

There are 2.5 million Hispanics in Florida who made up a record 17% of Florida’s registered voters in the 2020 election, according to Pew research. (RELATED: ‘Trying To Silence Conservative Voices’: Hispanic Orgs Fight Back Against Soros Funded Latino Media Company)

Around 476,000 more Hispanics were registered to vote in Florida in 2020 than in 2016, making up 30% of the state’s overall increase in registered voters, Pew research reported.

Biden’s approval among Florida Hispanic voters is at an all-time low, with only 31% of them approving of Biden while 56% disapprove, according to Civiqs.

Florida’s typically blue Miami-Dade County swung 30 points positively toward Republican Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis in a March poll from Brendixen & Amandi international, according to FL Voice News.

Despite Biden winning Miami-Dade in 2020 by 7 points, 50% of Miami-Dade voters approve of DeSantis, and 48% want to see DeSantis run and win a second 4-year term as Florida Governor, the outlet reported.

The poll surveyed 800 registered voters in Miami-Dade County from March 3-8 with a margin of error of +/- 3.4%.

Latino Partnership For Conservative Principles President Alfonso Aguilar told the Daily Caller in June that the Democratic Party is “losing the battle of ideas” with Hispanic voters.

“Hispanics are really turned off by what they are hearing from Latinx to excessive emphasis on trans-issues, abortion, and promoting an agenda of racial confrontation and victimization,” said Aguilar. “They are really behaving like woke activists.”


Despite Texas being a solidly Republican state since 1994, Hispanic voters living in the state have consistently voted for Democratic Party candidates over Republicans. But that looks to be changing, according to Civiqs.

The poll reported that 55% of Hispanic voters in Texas disapprove of Biden’s handling of his job as president, and only 30% approve.

Even more troubling for Biden is his approval rating among young Texas Hispanic voters aged 18-34 is less than 20%, according to Civiqs.

Only 17% of young Texas Hispanics approve of Biden, while 61% disapprove, the poll showed.

Texas Hispanics over 65 gave Biden his highest approval rating by age, with 49% approving of Biden and 39% disapproving of the president, according to Civiqs.

Republican Texas Rep. Mayra Flores recently flipped Texas’ 34th congressional district Biden carried by 4 points in 2020. She told the Daily Caller in July that Democrats are losing in places like her Texas district, which Democrats held for 100 years, because they “use immigrants for political power.” (RELATED: ‘We’re On Our Heels’: Democrats Reportedly Confront Campaign Leadership After Republicans Flip Texas Seat)

“These are people that claim they’re for immigrants; these are people that claim they’re for women, they’re for people of color, they’re not supporting me. They just use immigrants for political power,” Flores told the Daily Caller.

“I believe that the reason why this district hadn’t been flipped is we didn’t have the funding,” Flores said. “This district is already conservative. We’re all about faith, family, and hard work. That’s who we are by nature.”

Democratic Texas Rep. Vicente Gonzalez, who is set to face Flores in November, confronted Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) Chair and Democratic New York Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney on the steps of the Capitol over the party’s lack of action as Hispanic voters embrace Republicans.

“I hope the DCCC learns their lesson with this before it happens across the country,” Gonzalez told Politico. “They have just forgotten about the brown people on the border. And that’s basically what it is. I’m not going to try to sugarcoat it anymore. They are taking Latinos in South Texas for granted.”

FiveThirtyEight rates Civiqs with a “B-” grade in its pollster ratings, with a mean-reverted bias towards the Democratic Party.