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California Midterm Election Betting Odds – Election Forecast for 2022

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The Republicans are poised to flip the House when Americans head to the ballot boxes on November 8, according to politics betting sites. They make the Republican Party the -700 favorite to control the House in 2022, while the Democrats are now +400 outsiders after struggling in the polls. However, the Democrats are now the -130 favorites to control the U.S. Senate with the best sportsbooks, so that could develop into a fascinating battle.

In California, voters will decide on two senate races, various congressional races, the gubernatorial selection and a series of municipal contests. They must also cast their votes on a broad range of propositions, focusing on diverse subjects such as sports betting, abortion, flavored tobacco and arts education.

There are some intriguing betting markets available on the midterm elections. This guide explains how to bet on the midterms, teaches you how to read politics odds and highlights the best sports betting sites for election betting.

Who Will Win the California Midterm Elections?

Senate Election Betting Odds

Incumbent Alex Padilla (D) is up against GOP attorney Mark Meuser for the right to serve California in the U.S. Senate. Governor Gavin Newsom appointed Padilla after Kamala Harris left the Senate to become vice president.

He will face Meuser in a bid to complete the term ending January 3, 2023, and also in the regular vote for a six-year term ending 2029. Padilla is the heavy favorite. In fact, it is considered such a slam-dunk most sportsbooks are not taking bets on it. However, one betting site has a line on the election:

  • Alex Padilla (-6600)
  • Mark Meuser (+1100)

That means you would need to wager $6,600 on Padilla just to win $100, so it appears that he has it in the bag. FiveThirtyEight puts Padilla’s chance of success above 99%, and it forecasts him receiving 62% of the vote

House Election Betting Odds

Moving over to the House, California is losing a district this year due to the state’s slowing population growth. It currently has 53 representatives in the House – 42 Democrats and 11 Republicans – but that will drop to 52 this year.

Politico’s forecasts suggest that there will be eight tight seats. It sees the picture like this:

  • 35 solid Democrat seats, and Districts 25 and 26 likely to vote Democrat.
  • Four solid Republican seats, and Districts 23, 40 and 41 likely to vote GOP.
  • Districts 9, 13, 47 and 49 leaning Democrat, and Districts 3 and 45 leaning GOP.
  • Toss-ups in Districts 22 and 27.

BetOnline is taking bets on those two toss-ups. It has -130 on Rudy Salas (D) in California District 22 and -110 on rival David G. Valadao (R). You can also find -130 on Christy Smith (D) in California District 27 and -110 on Mike Garcia (R).

Best Sportsbooks for the Midterm Elections 2022

Our experts have reviewed the various sites that offer betting on U.S. politics. They analyzed the quality of the odds, the breadth of markets available, the overall user experience, the security features and the payout speeds. We ultimately determined that these are the top four sportsbooks for midterm elections betting:

BetOnline Election Betting Odds

BetOnline is the best site for midterm election betting odds this year. It offers a far wider array of markets than any of its rivals, and the odds on offer are appealing. You can bet on who will control the House, a variety of congressional races, the size of the Republican majority and the total Democrat seats. It is also taking bets on who will control the U.S. Senate, along with a range of senate races.

Aside from the midterms, you can wager on the 2024 presidential election, props on Donald Trump, Hilary Clinton and Vladimir Putin, and international politics from Brazil to the UK. The betting options are all displayed in a neat format, as this BetOnline review explains. It offers same day payouts too, along with 24/7 customer support, a flawless security record and a trusted reputation. If you sign up today, you will also receive up to $1,000 in bonus credits via the welcome bonus.

Bookmaker Election Bets

Bookmaker.eu is another strong all-round politics betting site. It has been operating since the 1990s, and it can be relied upon to provide secure, prompt payouts if you win. This site does not have as many election betting markets as BetOnline, but it provides some of the best odds on the market, so it is well worth checking out.

We highly recommend registering with Bookmaker, as it offers appealing promotions and an excellent user experience. You can sign up with multiple online betting sites, which allows you to compare the odds they offer on each politics market and grab the best lines. Read more in the Bookmaker.eu review.

Heritage Sports Election Betting Lines

Heritage Sports is a world-class betting site with a reputation for offering market leading odds, elite customer service and cashback rebates. It pursued an invite-only business model for many years, but the management team eventually relented in the face of overwhelming demand and began accepting players from across the United States.

You can place wagers on senate elections in various states, and it has plenty of gubernatorial election markets too. Heritage Sports provides international politics betting coverage, spanning South America, Europe and Asia Pacific, so head over to the site and browse your options. You can also learn more about this site in the Heritage Sports review.

Bovada Midterm Election Betting

Bovada is an iconic betting site. It includes a detailed politics section, a superb sportsbook, America’s busiest online poker room, an online casino and a full service racebook. A loyalty program covers each section, allowing you to accumulate rewards points each time you place a bet, and you can then trade them in for site credit and other perks.

This betting site has some interesting props on the midterm, including the voter turnout, while you can also bet on senate races, the winning party, then gubernatorial elections and the 2024 U.S. presidential election. Bovada also offers same day withdrawals, and the rollover requirements on its bonuses are very modest, as this Bovada review highlights.

Reading Midterm Election Odds

Midterm election odds at online sports betting sites such as BetOnline, Bookmaker and Bovada will be displayed in the American format. That means the politics odds will either begin with a plus or a minus.

  • If the odds begin with a plus, it tells you how much you would win from a $100 bet.
  • When they start with a minus, it highlights how much you need to risk to win $100.

Senate vs. House: What’s the difference?

The Senate and the House are the two chambers of the federal government, which work together to create laws. Each state has two senators, so large states like California have the same representation as small states such as Wyoming and Delaware. It is currently split 50/50, but Democrats have a slight advantage over the Republicans, as Vice President Kamala Harris casts the deciding vote.

There are 435 members of the House, known as representatives. They each represent a district, so California has the largest collection of representatives. Slow population growth means that California has dropped from 53 districts to 52, and congressional races for each district will conclude at the midterms.

CA Prop 26: Sports Betting Legalization in CA

Californians will also have their say on whether California should introduce locally-regulated sports betting apps when they cast their ballots in November. There are two rival measures – Proposition 26 and Proposition 27 – which would result in different gambling laws.

Prop 26 is backed by a large collection of Native American tribe groups. They want to see online gambling legalized at tribal casinos and racetracks only, while these Indian tribes oppose online sports betting. You can vote yes or no on retail sports betting.

What is Prop 27 in California?

Prop 27 would introduce locally-regulated sports betting across the state, from San Diego and Los Angeles in Southern California to Alameda in Northern California. It is backed by large online sportsbook operators.

The backers of Prop 26 and Prop 27 are at loggerheads, and they have invested heavily in ad campaigns discrediting one another. Experts say both ballot measures are now likely to fail due to this war of words, which has left voters confused.

To be clear, Prop 26 and Prop 27 relate to local sportsbook operations. The sites listed on this page – BetOnline, Bookmaker, Heritage Sports and Bovada – are based overseas, so they are able to accept sports bets and politics bets from Californians. It is perfectly legal for adults in California to place bets at those sites, and they are all very trustworthy.

Where can I find the 2022 elections odds?

You can find 2022 midterm election odds by visiting an elite betting site such as BetOnline, Bookmaker, Heritage Sports or Bovada. They offer betting on who will control the House after the midterms, Senate races, governor races and props. Those politics betting sites also offer large bonuses and quick, secure withdrawals, so we recommend them to anyone interested in 2022 elections odds.

Do sportsbooks offer presidential elections betting odds?

Some of the world’s best sportsbooks offer competitive betting odds on presidential elections. For example, BetOnline is offering odds on which individual will win the 2024 presidential election and which party will emerge victorious, along with markets on who will be the Democrat and Republican nominees for president and vice president. There are various presidential election betting props to browse too.

Members of the editorial and news staff of the Daily Caller were not involved in the creation of this content.