During the process of promoting my new book, “The Quotable Rogue: The Ideals of Sarah Palin In Her Own Words,” I have often been asked the following question(s): Will Sarah Palin run — and if she does run — can she actually win?
My answer is always the same: I’m not sure if she will run, but yes, she could win.
This is almost always met with incredulity.
Conventional wisdom seems to hold that Palin will not run, and that if she does, she can’t win. Yet this does not seem to comport with empirical evidence. Case in point — the latest ABC News/Washington Post survey shows Palin in second place, trailing only Mitt Romney.
According to the survey, Palin also leads Rep. Michele Bachmann by six percentage points. This, of course, is despite the fact that Palin has not decided (or announced) whether or not she will run for president, while Bachmann is aggressively seeking the nomination.
Maybe the new Palin movie should have been titled “The Underestimated?”