Clinton’s Newest Numbers In Virginia Show Strong Lead


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Phillip Stucky Political Reporter
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Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton has a strong chance at winning the swing state of Virginia in a landslide election, according to a statewide poll published Tuesday.

Clinton extended her lead over Republican nominee Donald Trump to 14 points, earning 52 percent with registered voters, compared to Trump’s 38 percent, according to The Washington Post.

Clinton’s lead shrinks to only seven points when the two third party candidates, Jill Stein and Gary Johnson, are added to the poll.

Virginia has a consistent, decades-long history of going to a Republican presidential candidate. Virginia broke its streak when it went to President Barack Obama in 2008 and 2012.

In 2012, Democratic-leaning Northern Virginia voted in enough numbers to put Obama over the edge for the win, despite Republican nominee Mitt Romney taking the rest of the state. The Obama-Romney numbers are mirrored in the Clinton-Trump poll.

In Northern Virginia, Clinton enjoyed 68 percent of the vote, while only 23 percent supported Trump.

Trump’s strongest showing was in the southwest part of the state, a portion of the state that relies on coal mining as a crucial part of the region’s economy. Those voters supported Trump at 58 percent compared to Clinton’s 32 percent.

Both the capital city of Richmond and the poorest portion of the state showed similar levels of support. Clinton won with an easy percentage lead, at 54 percent in Richmond and 60 percent in Tidewater. Trump carried 37 percent and 29 percent, respectively.

Neither candidates are particularly well-liked in the state. Clinton has a 43 percent unfavorability rating, compared to Trump’s 56 percent rating.

Clinton’s running mate, former Gov. Tim Kaine of Virginia, could be doing more to help the Clinton campaign than pundits originally thought. Kaine enjoys a 54 percent favorable rating in the state.

Clinton made gains with every demographic, keeping strong numbers consistent with Obama in 2012, while at the same time narrowing Trump’s lead with white voters.

Trump also carries far lower numbers with independents than Romney did. In 2012, Romney had an 11-point lead, but Trump trails with independents by 9 points.

Trump even trails among Republicans, earning only 71 percent, compared to Romney’s comparatively strong showing of 89 percent support from Republican voters.

A poll published Monday revealed Clinton also has a strong lead in New York. Although the Empire State can hardly be called a swing state, Trump used to tout his ability to carry his home state against Clinton,

The Washington Post poll surveyed 888 registered voters statewide using a combination of cell phone and landline phones.

The poll was conducted from Aug.11-14, and carried a margin of error of 4 percentage points.

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