Donald Trump went from down by 12 points in the ABC News/Washington Post survey of the nation, to Hillary Clinton leading Trump by just two — within the margin of error — according to a poll released Saturday.
The ABC/WAPO tracking poll from October 20 to October 23 had Clinton at 50 percent and Trump at 38 percent. In subsequent polling from October 24 to October 27, Hillary is at 47 percent, Trump is at 45 percent, Libertarian Gary Johnson is at 4 percent, and the Green Party’s Jill Stein is at 2 percent. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percent.
[dcquiz] In the prior poll, Trump was down by 16 points among independent voters, but he is now up by six percent with the group in the present survey. At the same time, ABC said that, “Loosely affiliated or reluctant Clinton supporters look less likely to vote, perhaps given their sense she can win without them – a supposition that looks less reliable today.”
On top of that 81 percent, of Republicans are now likely to vote. A week ago that figure was at 75 percent. The amount of white likely Democrat voters has also decreased by five points since the last ABC/WAPO poll and the share of likely Republican voting or GOP leaning women has increased by six percent. Trump also gained among voters aged 18-29 by six percent, while Democrats lost nine percent of support with this group.
This polling was all conducted before it was announced that the FBI has re-opened its investigation into Hillary Clinton’s use of email while serving as secretary of state.