A poll of likely Alaska voters conducted last week shows Donald Trump leading Hillary Clinton by a single percentage point in the traditional Republican stronghold.
The poll, obtained by The Midnight Sun, an Alaska politics website, shows Trump in first place among poll participants with 37 percent, followed closely by Clinton with 36 percent.
Trump’s meager one-percent lead is within the poll’s margin of error of 4.4 percent.
Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson places a distant third in the new Alaska poll with seven percent.
Green Party candidate comes in fourth place with three percent.
After well over a year of essentially constant news about the 2016 election, 17 percent of Alaska’s voters apparently remain undecided, or will vote for someone else.
The poll, conducted from Oct. 11 to 13, contacted 500 voters likely to participate in the 2016 general election voters, according to The Midnight Sun.
A previous Lake Research Group poll — from mid-August — showed Trump leading Clinton in Alaska by a healthy margin of 38 percent to 30 percent (with Johnson at 11 percent and Stein at two percent).
The two polls suggest, then, that Trump’s support in Alaska has stayed essentially the same over the last two months while Clinton’s support has increased substantially.
Early October polling by Republican Sen. Lisa Murkowski showed Trump leading Clinton by 37 percent to 34 percent — within the poll’s margin of error.
An early October poll commissioned by the Alaska Dispatch News (out of Anchorage) showed Trump leading Clinton by 36.1 percent to 30.6 percent.
Democrats in Alaska are giddy about the poll numbers.
“The race is a toss-up,” Alaska Democratic Party spokesman Jake Hamburg told The Midnight Sun. “In light of the most recent revelations and Republican defections, things do not bode well for Donald Trump and the Alaska Republican Party with three weeks left to go until the elections.”
Republicans say they believe Trump will hold the state.
“I think Alaska voters are going to reject (Clinton’s) campaign and what she stands for and what she has said about Alaska,” state Republican party spokesman Rick Whitbeck told the website.
The Republican Party has dominated presidential elections in Alaska for decades.
Voters in Alaska have chosen the GOP candidate in each of the last 10 elections — and in 13 of the last 14 elections. (The one time Alaska’s voters chose a Democrat was in 1964, when Lyndon Johnson won the state over Barry Goldwater.)
In 2012, Mitt Romney won Alaska over Barack Obama by 54.48 percent to 40.8 percent (Johnson received 2.5 percent of the 2012 vote. Stein got about 1 percent. Various write-in candidates also combined for about 1 percent.)
In 2004, George W. Bush pasted John Kerry in Alaska by a tally of 61.2 percent to 35.6 percent.
Alaska will provide 3 electoral votes to the presidential candidate who receives the most vote in the state on Tuesday, Nov. 8.