Trump Leads Biden In Key Swing State That Helped Decide The 2020 Election: Poll

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Mary Lou Masters Contributor
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Former President Donald Trump is leading President Joe Biden in a hypothetical head-to-head matchup for 2024 in the crucial battleground state of Pennsylvania, according to a Wednesday poll.

Trump has a 2-point lead over Biden among registered Pennsylvania voters, and a 1- point favorability advantage, according to a Quinnipiac University survey. The former president also beat Biden among independents in the state, with 48% supporting Trump and 39% supporting the president.

“Biden vs. Trump: same as it ever was, setting up another likely bare-knuckled brawl between the two candidates in Biden’s home state,” Quinnipiac University polling analyst Tim Malloy said in a statement. (RELATED: Uh Oh: Trump Surges Past Biden In Swing State Polls)

In the 2020 general election, Pennsylvania was one of the closest state contests, with Biden beating Trump by only 1.2 points, according to the Department of State’s website.

A mid-September Reuters/Ipsos survey yielded similar results in several key swing states for a 2024 rematch between Trump and Biden. Across Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, Trump leads Biden 41% to 35%, with 24% of voters remaining undecided.

LARGO, MARYLAND - SEPTEMBER 14: U.S. President Joe Biden delivers remarks at Prince George's Community College on September 14, 2023 in Largo, Maryland. Biden spoke on his economic plan, "Bidenomics," outlining his plan to create jobs, reduce inflation and increase wages while comparing it to the Republican's plan that he says will hurt the middle class and cut the social safety net. (Photo by Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images)

LARGO, MARYLAND – SEPTEMBER 14: U.S. President Joe Biden delivers remarks at Prince George’s Community College. (Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images)

For a 2024 Republican primary in Pennsylvania, Trump leads the crowded field by 47 points, followed by Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis at 14% and former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley at 8%, according to the survey. Former Vice President Mike Pence and former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie both garnered 4% support, businessman Vivek Ramaswamy received 2% and South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott and North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum had 1% each, with all other 2024 hopefuls at less than 1%.

Democratic Sen. Bob Casey is leading Republican David McCormick, who entered the GOP primary race in late September, 50% to 44% for a 2024 matchup, according to the poll. McCormick has a slight 1 point advantage among independents over Casey.

The Quinnipiac University survey polled 1,725 registered Pennsylvania voters between Sept. 28 and Oct. 2 with a margin of error of 2.4%.

Neither Trump nor Biden immediately responded to the Daily Caller News Foundation’s requests for comment.

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