Feature:Opinion

Local governments’ day of reckoning

Lynndee Kemmet Contributor
Font Size:

Lower property values, foreclosures, and decreased aid from cash-strapped states are adding up to a tough 2011 for many U.S. towns and cities — perhaps the worst since the Great Depression.

Consider property taxes, which account for 25 percent or more of most municipalities’ revenues. With home values still falling in many areas, according to Freddie Mac’s Conventional Mortgage Home Price Index, and an anticipated 1.2 million foreclosures in 2011, many counties and cities will fall far short of previous income projections.

Compounding their problems is sluggish consumer spending, which translates into lower sales tax revenues. According to a fall 2010 National League of Cities survey, 87 percent of the cities that rely heavily on sales tax revenues report fiscal distress.

On top of these stress factors is the loss of funding from the state and federal governments, known generically as revenue sharing. Municipalities generally receive around 40 percent of their income from these sources. But with state tax revenues down about 12 percent from pre-recession levels and most states facing fiscal 2012 deficits, these funds are being cut.

Many cities have responded by cutting budgets, including those for police, fire protection and education. Oakland, Calif.’s leaner police force can’t cover patrol beats. Detroit’s police force is abandoning entire neighborhoods. Many teachers are facing layoffs and the Education Commission of the States reports that school districts in over a dozen states have adopted a four-day week.

But even this may not be enough. According to the Federal Reserve, state and local debt is now running around $2.4 trillion, excluding health care and pension obligations, which are another $1 trillion in the hole.

The federal government’s response to the economic crisis has been borrowing. But this may not be an option for municipalities.

There already are signs that investors think holding municipal bonds, the primary means through which cities borrow, is risky, and there is a growing fear that interest payments will be delayed or maturing bonds will be declared nonredeemable.

This is evident in the fact that “muni” bonds now yield more than U.S. Treasury bonds. In January 2000, the monthly average yield on a two-year, AAA-rated municipal bond was 4.42 percent, versus 6.44 percent for a two-year Treasury. Now, the same muni yields 0.67 percent, versus Treasury’s 0.45 percent. In short, municipal bonds are now seen as more risky, so cities have to pay more to borrow.

Bond rating services also perceive the change. Moody’s Investors Service downgraded 279 state and local bonds in 2009, up from 81 in 2008, the largest downgrade in at least 20 years.

For some cities, wiping the slate clean through bankruptcy is beginning to seem like an attractive alternative. Late last year, for example, city officials in Hamtramck, Mich., adjacent to Detroit, said they would declare bankruptcy if the state would allow it.

Only about half the states do allow such Chapter 9 bankruptcies, though others are considering it.

Some states have created programs to help local governments avoid bankruptcy. In Harrisburg, Pa., which has defaulted on a $3.29 million bond payment tied to an incinerator project, city officials have relied on state support to make debt payments and even payroll. Such state programs may explain why more municipal bankruptcies haven’t occurred.

State officials may be justified in their fear that if one city is allowed to declare bankruptcy, more will follow. A conspicuous rise in local government bankruptcies certainly could hurt even reasonably solvent municipalities by further driving up borrowing costs.

But most states have their own financial problems and are in no position to take on the long-term financial obligations of ailing municipalities.

Even if the economy recovers more quickly than expected, the ripple effect is unlikely to reach local governments any time soon. If revenues remain stagnant or decline and investors grow more wary and demand payment on municipal bonds, local government budgets could crash.

If ever there was a year for municipalities to take a serious look at their budgets and how they do business, this is it. Taxpayers should demand it.

Lynndee Kemmet is a research fellow at the American Institute for Economic Research (www.aier.org), Great Barrington, Mass., and author of “Follow the Money: A Citizens Guide to Local Government.”

PREMIUM ARTICLE: Subscribe To Keep Reading

Sign up

By subscribing you agree to our Terms of Use

You're signed up!

Sign up

By subscribing you agree to our Terms of Use

You're signed up!
Sign up

By subscribing you agree to our Terms of Use

You're signed up!

Sign up

By subscribing you agree to our Terms of Use

You're signed up!
Sign up

By subscribing you agree to our Terms of Use

You're signed up!

Sign Up

By subscribing you agree to our Terms of Use

You're signed up!
Sign up

By subscribing you agree to our Terms of Use

You're signed up!
Sign up

By subscribing you agree to our Terms of Use

You're signed up!
BENEFITS READERS PASS PATRIOTS FOUNDERS
Daily and Breaking Newsletters
Daily Caller Shows
Ad Free Experience
Exclusive Articles
Custom Newsletters
Editor Daily Rundown
Behind The Scenes Coverage
Award Winning Documentaries
Patriot War Room
Patriot Live Chat
Exclusive Events
Gold Membership Card
Tucker Mug

What does Founders Club include?

Tucker Mug and Membership Card
Founders

Readers,

Instead of sucking up to the political and corporate powers that dominate America, The Daily Caller is fighting for you — our readers. We humbly ask you to consider joining us in this fight.

Now that millions of readers are rejecting the increasingly biased and even corrupt corporate media and joining us daily, there are powerful forces lined up to stop us: the old guard of the news media hopes to marginalize us; the big corporate ad agencies want to deprive us of revenue and put us out of business; senators threaten to have our reporters arrested for asking simple questions; the big tech platforms want to limit our ability to communicate with you; and the political party establishments feel threatened by our independence.

We don't complain -- we can't stand complainers -- but we do call it how we see it. We have a fight on our hands, and it's intense. We need your help to smash through the big tech, big media and big government blockade.

We're the insurgent outsiders for a reason: our deep-dive investigations hold the powerful to account. Our original videos undermine their narratives on a daily basis. Even our insistence on having fun infuriates them -- because we won’t bend the knee to political correctness.

One reason we stand apart is because we are not afraid to say we love America. We love her with every fiber of our being, and we think she's worth saving from today’s craziness.

Help us save her.

A second reason we stand out is the sheer number of honest responsible reporters we have helped train. We have trained so many solid reporters that they now hold prominent positions at publications across the political spectrum. Hear a rare reasonable voice at a place like CNN? There’s a good chance they were trained at Daily Caller. Same goes for the numerous Daily Caller alumni dominating the news coverage at outlets such as Fox News, Newsmax, Daily Wire and many others.

Simply put, America needs solid reporters fighting to tell the truth or we will never have honest elections or a fair system. We are working tirelessly to make that happen and we are making a difference.

Since 2010, The Daily Caller has grown immensely. We're in the halls of Congress. We're in the Oval Office. And we're in up to 20 million homes every single month. That's 20 million Americans like you who are impossible to ignore.

We can overcome the forces lined up against all of us. This is an important mission but we can’t do it unless you — the everyday Americans forgotten by the establishment — have our back.

Please consider becoming a Daily Caller Patriot today, and help us keep doing work that holds politicians, corporations and other leaders accountable. Help us thumb our noses at political correctness. Help us train a new generation of news reporters who will actually tell the truth. And help us remind Americans everywhere that there are millions of us who remain clear-eyed about our country's greatness.

In return for membership, Daily Caller Patriots will be able to read The Daily Caller without any of the ads that we have long used to support our mission. We know the ads drive you crazy. They drive us crazy too. But we need revenue to keep the fight going. If you join us, we will cut out the ads for you and put every Lincoln-headed cent we earn into amplifying our voice, training even more solid reporters, and giving you the ad-free experience and lightning fast website you deserve.

Patriots will also be eligible for Patriots Only content, newsletters, chats and live events with our reporters and editors. It's simple: welcome us into your lives, and we'll welcome you into ours.

We can save America together.

Become a Daily Caller Patriot today.

Signature

Neil Patel