Trump Behind By 4 Points In Latest Poll

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Phillip Stucky Political Reporter
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Republican nominee Donald Trump trails Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton by only four points, according to the latest Washington Post/ABC News poll released Sunday.

Clinton earned 47 percent, but Trump followed closely behind at 43 percent of the vote. Trump lost a point from the Sept. 22 WaPo poll, while Clinton gained a point. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson sustained his downward slide, earning only five percent, while Green Party candidate Jill Stein gained a point to earn two percent in this week’s poll.

Both candidates gained the same percentage when the poll was reduced to a two-way race, with Clinton earning 50 percent compared to Trump’s 46 percent. Trump lost slightly amid the larger “registered voters” poll, earning only 44 percent, while Clinton remained stable at 50 percent.

The latest poll registers hardly any change since the beginning of the first presidential debate. A vice presidential debate, two presidential debates, a sustained scandal involving Trump’s 2005 comments regarding women, and the week-long release of internal emails from Clinton staff have all transpired in the days between the two polls.

The stability in poll numbers during such a turbulent time indicates that the two candidates have either canceled each other out in their negatives or that voters have already made up their minds before the debates.

The poll found that 87 percent of Trump supporters have a “strongly unfavorable” view of Clinton, while 90 percent of Clinton supporters have the same view of Trump. This seems to indicate that each candidate has their own consistent base of support that isn’t going anywhere, regardless of what comes between now and November.

The latest poll is consistent with the Real Clear polling average in the three-way race including Johnson. Clinton leads by 5.5 percent, earning 44.9 percent, with Trump earning 39.4 percent. Johnson earned six percent in the average. Johnson is the only third party candidate on the ballot in all 50 states, according to the candidate’s Saturday interview on CSPAN.

The poll was conducted from Oct. 10 through Oct. 13, and included 920 registered voter with a margin of error of 3.5 percent, and 740 likely voters for a margin of error of 4 percent.

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