Real Clear Politics Analyst Breaks Down Who Has The Best Chance To Face Trump In 2020

Screenshot/Fox News

Daily Caller News Foundation logo
Nick Givas Media And Politics Reporter
Font Size:

Senior elections analyst for Real Clear Politics, Sean Trende, broke down which Democrats have the best chances of clinching the party’s 2020 presidential nomination.

Former Vice President Joe Biden leads the field with nearly 30 percent of the vote, according to Real Clear Politics polling, but Trende said on “Fox & Friends” Wednesday that it’s mostly due to name recognition.

“A lot of what we’re seeing in the polls for him, name recognition. People know him as former vice president, don’t know too much about him. He’s someone who’s run for president twice, and won exactly zero primaries,” he said. “He hasn’t had a competitive race since 1972. And of course he has these kind of creepy uncle Joe slash #MeToo issues that will dog him in this Democratic primary.”

Trende moved on the Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders who polled just above 21 percent, and said he could end up winning the Iowa and New Hampshire primaries. (RELATED: Pelosi Says Democrats Will Maintain Control Of The House In 2020)


“Although he’s in second place in the polls, that 20 percent that he receives is a pretty firm base of support. So that plays out in two ways. He could win both Iowa and New Hampshire. And he’s only a couple points out of first place in both of those right now, which would make him pretty much unstoppable,” he said. “The other option is that he passes the 15 percent threshold for receiving delegates in the various races while his competitors fail to cross that threshold, and he just keeps racking up delegates that way and becomes the delegate leader going into a convention.”

Trende ended the segment with former Texas Rep. Beto O’Rourke and South Bend Mayor Pete Buttegig, who polled at 8.9 and 2.9 percent, respectively. Trende said they both may find success if they can resonate with younger voters.

“Losing a Senate race and being in Congress three years isn’t a traditional resume for [the] presidency but neither was President Trump’s, neither was President Obama’s resume. Things have changed in America,” he said. “I think whatever it is Beto O’Rourke has it, it’s a thing that allows him to stand on a diner countertop and not look hokey.”

“I think [Buttegig ] has a lot of charisma. I think he’s someone who can appeal to young voters and maybe catch fire in Iowa.”

You can Follow Nick on Twitter

All content created by the Daily Caller News Foundation, an independent and nonpartisan newswire service, is available without charge to any legitimate news publisher that can provide a large audience. All republished articles must include our logo, our reporter’s byline and their DCNF affiliation. For any questions about our guidelines or partnering with us, please contact licensing@dailycallernewsfoundation.org.