A Democratic presidential candidate has not won the Texas Electoral College votes in over 40 years, yet the state was widely considered a battleground leading up to the Nov. 3 election, based on polls. Statistics post-Election Day indicate analysts misread the interests of a crucial portion of the electorate.
President Donald Trump performed better among Hispanic and Latino voters in 2020 than he did in 2016 in several pivotal swing states that polling indicated were up for grabs only days before the general election. For example, in Florida, Trump made up nearly 10 points on his 2016 showing, earning 45% of the statewide Hispanic and Latino vote. The gain is arguably a key reason Trump defeated President-elect Joe Biden in the state by 3%.