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California Dems Touted Decline In Violent Blue City’s Crime Rate. But The Data Isn’t What It Seems

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Wallace White Contributor
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While prominent California Democrats touted a supposed reduction in crime in Oakland, one of the state’s most notorious crime-ridden cities, the numbers they cited contained significant gaps in reporting, the San Francisco Chronicle reported Wednesday.

California Governor Gavin Newsom touted a 33% overall crime drop in Oakland in a June press release, with Oakland Mayor Sheng Thao also citing the figure in a May press release. However, the figure stems from incomplete year-to-date non-violent crime and burglary reports, according to the Chronicle’s analysis. The real decline may be closer to 20%, the outlet reported.

Non-violent crimes and burglaries get reported to the Oakland Police Department (OPD) through an online portal and take up to six weeks to appear in crime data, according to the Chronicle. The result is an underreported 2024 year-to-date crime figure, which artificially inflates the reported change in crime from the previous year.

Lt. Barry Donelan, head of Oakland’s burglary and general crimes detail, said that the OPD is not trying to deliberately mislead the public, citing “decrepit IT infrastructure” as the reason for the delay in reporting, according to the Chronicle. (RELATED: ‘Not Going Down Like That’: Sheng Thao Decries FBI Raid, Alleges Discrimination Based On Economic Status)

“There can be a delay in the overall number of reported property crimes based on our community’s use of the online reporting system,” an OPD spokesperson told the Chronicle. “Each of these online crime reports must be reviewed and verified by a member of our staff before being included in crime statistics.”

Each OPD weekly report contains a footnote stipulating, “Statistics can be affected by late reporting, the geocoding process, or the reclassification or unfounding of crimes. Because crime reporting and data entry can run behind, all crimes may not be recorded.”

However, the OPD has not pushed to correct the record with those like Newsom and Thao who are taking the statistics at face value, according to the Chronicle.

A man a conveys his message to police during a protest sparked by the death of George Floyd while in police custody on May 29, 2020 in Oakland, California. Earlier today, former Minneapolis police officer Derek Chauvin was taken into custody for Floyd's death. Chauvin has been accused of kneeling on Floyd's neck as he pleaded with him about not being able to breathe. Floyd was pronounced dead a short while later. Chauvin and 3 other officers, who were involved in the arrest, were fired from the police department after a video of the arrest was circulated. (Photo by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)

A man a conveys his message to police during a protest sparked by the death of George Floyd while in police custody on May 29, 2020 in Oakland, California. Earlier today, former Minneapolis police officer Derek Chauvin was taken into custody for Floyd’s death. (Photo by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)

“These results are a clear and concrete example of the effective partnership with state, local, and federal law enforcement in Oakland and the surrounding East Bay,” Newsom said in the June press release. “Ensuring the safety and security of Oakland residents, we will continue to make our communities safer by taking down crime and holding individuals accountable.”

“Oakland is turning the corner, and the public safety strategies the City has implemented are paying off,” Thao said in a May press release. “After years of rising crime rates, crime has decreased by more than 30% compared to last year and down 17% compared to the last three years.”

Oakland has struggled with crime in recent years, with Oakland’s violent crime rate being three times more than the California average in 2022, according to Neighborhood Scout. Thao is currently facing a recall election in November, with crime being a key issue for Oakland residents who suffered a crime spike after Thao fired former Police Chief LeRonne Armstrong.

The OPD responded to the Daily Caller News Foundation (DCNF) with a statement.

“There has been no change in how the Oakland Police Department (OPD) has reported our Weekly Crime Data since we began sharing it with our community,” the OPD said. “Our Weekly Crime Reports are up-to-date and accurate for crimes involving immediate danger and loss of life, such as homicides, shootings, sexual assaults, and robberies.”
“Property crimes such as burglaries, auto theft, and larcenies are accurate at the time of reporting,” the OPD said. “There can be a delay in the overall number of reported property crimes based on our community’s use of the online reporting system.  Each of these online crime reports must be reviewed and verified by a member of our staff before being included in crime statistics.”
They added that the OPD’s method of reporting non-violent crimes and burglaries is common practice for Bay Area departments.
“This practice is not unique to Oakland; it is consistent with other jurisdictions around the Bay Area, which also experience similar delays and have comparable disclaimers regarding lag time in their reporting methods,” the OPD said. “OPD strives to be as accurate and transparent with our community as possible. We will continue to work on improving our online reporting system and our ability to share real-time crime data with our community members.”

Thao’s office and Newsom’s office did not immediately respond to the DCNF’s request for comment.

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