CNN Data Reporter Harry Enten said Thursday that Vice President Kamala Harris is expanding Democrats’ lead among voters who expressed a dislike for both former President Donald Trump and President Joe Biden.
New York Times/Siena College polls of voters in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin released Saturday showed Harris held four-point leads over former Trump in those swing states. Enten said that Trump was running competitive with Biden among voters who expressed a dislike for both candidates, but that support for Harris has increased the deficit since she joined the race. (RELATED: ‘Not Anywhere Near As Strong’: CNN Data Guru Says Harris Closing Gap With Trump’s Key Supporters)
“All right, so let’s take a look at double haters. As you pointed out, these are folks who dislike Joe Biden as well as Donald Trump and I want you to look at their voting patterns, who they want for president,” Enten told “CNN News Central” co-host John Berman. “Now let’s go back to June. What we saw was 28% of those folks were going for Joe Biden compared to 19% who said they were going for Donald Trump.”
WATCH:
‘Giant Increase In No Time’: CNN Data Guru Says Kamala Gaining Among ‘Double Haters’ pic.twitter.com/GNZGby5NwY
— Daily Caller (@DailyCaller) August 15, 2024
“Now that Kamala Harris is the Democratic nominee, look at her support among them. Look at this, 53% say Kamala Harris, look at that jump, that’s a jump of 25 points. Donald Trump has gone in the other direction down to 11 points,” Enten continued. “And now we’re looking at, what is that, John? That is a 42-point advantage among the folks who dislike Joe Biden and Donald Trump for Kamala Harris compared to just that nine-point advantage that Joe Biden had back in June. This, of course, is a substantial portion of the electorate. Before Kamala Harris got in, this was going to be the group that was going to determine one way or another, and it may still be, and if it is, Kamala Harris has this massive advantage over this very key bloc in the election.”
Harris secured the Democratic nomination shortly after Biden dropped out of the race July 21. At the time Biden ended his bid, he trailed Trump by 3.1% in a national head-to-head matchup, according to the RealClearPolling average, with Trump’s lead expanding to 4.2% when Green Party candidate Dr. Jill Stein and independent presidential candidates Cornel West and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. were included in surveys.
“Again, what we have seen in the last few weeks, are these big shifts in polling you don’t normally see, right now at least, but that’s a giant increase in no time,” Berman said. (RELATED: ‘Clear Momentum’: CNN Data Guru Says Harris’ Polling Bump Is Causing Trump To Go ‘Bananas’ Despite ‘No Clear Leader’)
“It turns out picking a nominee who is actually pretty close to having an even net favorability rating, that is favorable minus unfavorable, is a pretty good thing as opposed to one that has a net negative favorability, as Joe Biden did,” Enten added.
Harris holds a 0.9% lead in a national head-to-head matchup with Trump, according to the RealClearPolling average of polls from July 30 to Aug. 14. The gap increases to 1.0% when Stein, Kennedy and West are included in surveys.
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