Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are neck-and-neck in an increasingly tight race across seven battleground states just weeks away from the presidential election, according to an Emerson College/Hill poll released Thursday.
Trump has a slight edge over Harris with 50% in Arizona, 49% in North Carolina and 49% in Wisconsin while the Democratic nominee trails 47%, 48% and 48% respectively, according to the poll. However, Harris has a slight lead with 49% in Georgia, 50% in Michigan and 49% in Nevada, while Trump falls behind at 48%, 47% and 48% respectively. (RELATED: Trump Hammered Voters’ Key Concerns In RNC Speech, Harris Hardly Mentioned Them)
Harris and Trump also tied in Pennsylvania at 48% each, according to the poll.
US Vice President and Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris (2L) and her running mate Minnesota Governor Tim Walz (R) arrive at Savannah/Hilton Head International Airport in Savannah, Georgia, August 28, 2024, as they travel for a 2-day campaign bus tour. ( SAUL LOEB/AFP via Getty Images)
“The race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump continues to be tight, within each state’s margin of error,” Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, said in a statement.
The race has become increasingly narrow in the seven key states after Democrats swapped the top of the ticket. When President Joe Biden was the Democratic nominee, Trump was polling ahead in all battlegrounds, according to RealClearPolling’s average of dozens of presidential polls. (RELATED: Dems Launch Ad Campaign Targeting Latinos In Battleground States)
Trump was leading Biden in the South and the Sun Belt states by 5.8 points in Arizona, 5.6 points in Nevada, 3.8 points in Georgia and 5.4 points in North Carolina, according to RealClearPolling. Trump was also ahead of Biden across the Rust Belt states by 2.9 points in Wisconsin, 2.1 points in Michigan and 4.5 points in Pennsylvania.
Harris now leads Trump across independents in six of the seven key swing states, according to the Emerson College/Hill poll. Nevada is the only state Trump is leading among independents. (RELATED: Harris Leads Trump In Key Swing State Demographic, But Huge Number Of Voters Are Still Up For Grabs: POLL)
The former president outperforms his Democratic challenger among male voters across all seven battleground states, according to the Emerson College/Hill poll. At the same time, Trump falls behind Harris among female voters in six of the swing states, with the exception of Arizona where he does slightly better with women than the Democratic nominee.
The Emerson College/Hill poll was conducted between Aug. 26 and Aug. 28, sampling 720 likely voters in Arizona, 800 in Michigan and Georgia, 950 in Pennsylvania, 1,168 in Nevada, 775 in North Carolina and 850 in Wisconsin. The poll had a margin of error of 3.6 points in Arizona, 3.4 points in Michigan and Georgia, 3.1 points in Pennsylvania, 2.8 points in Nevada, 3.5 points in North Carolina and 3.3 points in Wisconsin.
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