Opining in The Wall Street Journal, Peggy Noonan writes:
You know the conventional wisdom. It is that unemployment ticking down, plus the economy inching back, plus the power of the presidency to affect events, equal a likely Obama victory in 2012. Smart people, especially Republicans, believe this. But how about this for a thought: It’s not true. It’s all wrong. Barack Obama can be taken, and his adversaries haven’t even noticed. In fact, he will likely lose in 2012…
I found the rest of the column a bit hard to follow, but it is worth noting that somebody prominent is saying Obama is likely to lose.
Frankly, my money is on Obama being re-elected. I say this for a variety of reasons (including the weak GOP field). But Noonan is right, of course, to note that Obama “can be taken”. The question is — will he be taken?