Carville: 2012 could be ‘very rough’ for Obama, says civil unrest ‘imminently possible’

Who ever thought the saying, “It’s the economy stupid,” from James Carville in 1992 would become a staple in presidential elections 20 years later?

That expression made its way into the campaign in 2008, and according to Carville, it could be the theme of the 2012 campaign as well as President Barack Obama seeks reelection. In an appearance on Monday’s “Imus in the Morning” on the Fox Business Network, the former Clinton adviser said that, based on the May jobs number, if the unemployment picture doesn’t improve, 2012 could be rough for the president.

“[L]ook, I don’t think anybody — if 54,000 new jobs is the new standard, it’s going to be a very, very rough 2012 for President Obama,” Carville said. “But the three-month average was 160,000. If that is the case, then he will do OK. I can’t tell you what will happen. But yes, if this, if this last jobs number is an indication of future job numbers, it’s going to be very, very rough.”

Carville cited a 2009 book by Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff called “This Time Is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly.” According to the book, the current economic situation, as with similar crises of this magnitude, will take time to work itself out and there may be little Obama can do.

“It is going to be very difficult,” Carville said. “But the country, if that is what we are doing, this is gruesome on people. This unemployment rate for this long is a humanitarian crisis of the first magnitude. This financial crisis, people have studied this by the way, they know that the things take this long to work their way through. The aftermath of these things — kind of an academic book that is dry entitled ‘This Time is Different.’ What it concluded is that it is not different this time. They studied it, the aftermath of the financial crisis. What we are going through is imminently predictable. But this is a terrible thing that has happened to people’s lives. I think the president at one level understands that, you know. But he is limited in what he can do. So we’ll just have to see. But it’s going to be hard. If 54,000 jobs is the new norm — this is going to be very, very tough. Some people say it just might be one more thing. We don’t know.”


But Carville said the consequences aren’t limited to politics alone. He warned of heightened risk of civil unrest with the bleak economic picture.

“You know, look — this is a humanitarian — you know, you’re smart enough to see this,” Carville said. “People, you know, if it continues, we’re going to start to see civil unrest in this country. I hate to say that, but I think it’s imminently possible.”

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  • Anonymous

    It is a proud era in history to have our first African-American President.  Obama is well educated, well spoken, good looking (i guess) but these things alone do not make one (whether white, black, latin, asian, etc) qualified to lead the most powerful nation on earth.   Unfortunately, Mr. Obama lacks the appropriate EXPERIENCE required to be President as demonstrated over the past three years of his administration, including two years when the democrats controlled both Congress and the White House, yet the quality of life for the average American family is deteriorating on daily basis.

    The issue at hand is that many are defining the word “racism” as dissent and disagreement with Mr. Obama.  American citizens are allowed to openly disagree with a persons politics and policies.   Disagreeing and having a dissenting opinion IS NOT racism.   Now, I can understand the lefts redefining the meaning of the word racism as they have had no accomplishments over the past three years upon which to base a campaign. No successes, a declining economy, fewer jobs, higher food costs, lower wages,etc   All things the average American voter will consider when they vote in 2012.   Had there been positive accomplishments, the Presidents would be boasting of the successes daily instead of blaming others for the economic problems we face. 

    The 2012 election will be vile.  Since Obama and his group have no accomplishments upon which to base their campaign, they will soon launch the dirtiest and most vile campaign in history.  They will pull out all the stops and not allow ethics, rule, laws nor the will of the American people stand in the way of retaining the White House.  It’s going to be UGLY!

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_MFXAORWCYJQLWDTDSUYISXZSHQ LetsGetReal

    IT IS NOT ABOUT THE ECONOMY — IT IS ABOUT THE CONSTITUTION.  They have been talking about the economy for thirty years while they walked all over the Constitution and drove us to bankruptcy.  How long before the media idiots figure out that it is not about the economy?  It is about Congress and Presidents refusing to uphold their oaths of office and uphold the Constitution!  Impeach Presidents who commit treason, impeach judges who usurp Congressional authority by legislating from the bench, refuse to fund unconstitutional executive departments, refuse to fund unconstitutional and undeclared wars, refuse to fund unconstitutional social spending. 

    VOTERS, refuse to vote for people who refuse to uphold the CONSTITUTION!  Do your homework, research the policies of those who are running for office.  If they have voted to impose socialist or world organizational control over the people that are supposed to represent, get them out of office.  You are the only one that can change what is happening.  If you continue to elect people who talk pretty words and do dirty deeds, you are responsible for the destruction of this nation.   Do your homework.  Find out the truth about the protections provided in the Constitution and begin to vote for representatives who will restore the foundations of the Constitution.  The Constitution is in place, restore its power now or tomorrow you will die by the hands of the government that has rejected the authority of the Constitution.

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_MFXAORWCYJQLWDTDSUYISXZSHQ LetsGetReal

    What will cause “civil unrest” is Obama directing his union thugs to create a crisis so that he may declare marshal law in order to destroy this nation and complete the goals of his power grabbing marxist agenda.  Dictators require a crisis in order to send their murderous army in to massacre all dissenters.  Dictators grab the power to destroy opposition while smiling and waving their palms to the deluded.

  • Anonymous

    The streets without a safety net and it is possible to see the result. The results in turbulence in the Arab countries with money and influence is channeled into a favorite of some cooperatives ruling families.