It is a simple fact of life that I am always right. I have only been wrong approximately four to five times in my life and at least one of those times wasn’t even really my fault. (RELATED: 2014 Oscar nominations: Snubs and surprises)
If you are a betting man, here is the only list of Oscar predictions you need to read before you place your bets ahead of Sunday’s ceremony.*
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Who should win: June Squibb, “Nebraska”
Who will win: Lupita Nyong’o, “12 Years a Slave.” If it were any other year, I would say that Jennifer Lawrence would pull out another win. Her performance in “American Hustle” was great and she is on a roll. But she has not campaigned at all for the role and has essentially said in interviews that she doesn’t want the Oscar. (She’s a smart one: She realizes that her star could burn out very quickly.) Squibb was my personal favorite in this category, but she doesn’t have enough momentum and neither does her relatively quiet film. On the other hand, Nyong’o has been pulling out all of the stops on the campaign trail and is equally deserving. “12 Years” won’t pick up any other acting awards, so voters will give this to the beautiful newcomer.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Who should win: Michael Fassbender, “12 Years a Slave”
Who will win: Jared Leto, “Dallas Buyers Club.” Sure, Jared Leto had something of a career renaissance after being out of films for the past seven years, and yes he became emaciated for his emotionally difficult role. He will win the Academy Award. If it were up to me, Fassbender would take home the gold. His performance was the best and most gut-wrenching aspect of “12 Years,” and it’s unfortunate that it has been overshadowed.