Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton leads Republican nominee Donald Trump by 9 points in Thursday’s Pennsylvania statewide Bloomberg poll.
Clinton polled over the 50 percent mark, earning 51 percent, compared to Trump’s 42 percent of support among likely voters. Trump dominates Clinton in the western part of the state, but Clinton is doing much better in the Philadelphia suburbs, a traditionally Republican area. Clinton leads by 28 percentage points in four counties that surround the city.
Trump earned huge leads with white men, at 32 percent, as well as rural voters without a college education by 20 percent. Trump also led Clinton by 11 percent in the western part of the state.
Clinton carried voters with college degrees by 26 percent, and voters under 35 by 22 percent. Clinton also did very well with minority voters, earning 46 percent of all voters who identified as something other than white.
Trump didn’t fair much better in the four-way poll. Clinton earned 48 percent compared to Trump’s 39 percent. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson earned a dismal 6 percent, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein earned 4 percent of the vote.
Democratic Senate candidate Katie McGinty leads Republican Sen. Pat Toomey 47 percent to 45 percent in the poll, indicating that the Senate race in Pennsylvania remains a toss-up in the state.
Statistics site 538 gives Clinton an 89.2 percent chance of winning the state, compared to Trump’s 10.8 percent chance, and 270 to win classifies the 20 electoral vote state as “leans Democratic.” 538 asserts there is an 11.9 percent chance the state of Pennsylvania will end up deciding the presidential race in November, second only behind Florida in importance according to the analysis.
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