One way to stop Democrat donors from abetting a national security crisis is to convince them that the “newcomers” are future MAGA voters.
Biden’s newcomers are not voting in November. That is illegal. So, let’s think of the future, and of immigrants-turned-citizens who will vote in November.
For now, Democrats are the obvious winners. The Africans, Asians, and Latinos crossing the border illegally would probably vote Democrat if we consider most American minorities vote that way. Consensus is that Latino and Asian voters turned California into a Democratic stronghold in the 1990s.
But what if these were not guaranteed Gavin Newsom 2028 voters? What if they preferred Trump’s worldview, and had less in common with the elitist, manic-depressive Democrat? Does the average immigrant seem to you more like Rachel Maddow and Rob “Meathead” Reiner, or more like Tucker Carlson and Tom Cruise?
I’m going with Carlson and Cruise. But that all depends on how you talk with them.
This election year, all the non-RINO campaign strategists need to persuade naturalized immigrants, ready to vote in 2024, that they are not what the Democrats say they are. Country club Republicans cannot pull this off. But MAGA can. MAGA can reach them all.
The Washington Post warns that minorities are “shifting right”.
Gallup data suggests 19 percent of Black voters are Republicans, compared with 11 percent on average between 1999 to 2022. And a New York Times poll says 45 percent of Latinos support Trump versus 43 percent for Biden. It’s a new racial realignment in politics.
Don’t get too excited. Republicans are playing from behind.
More Latinos chose Trump in 2020 than 2016, but as a percentage of their vote, it was still lower for Republicans than it was in 2004, according to AS/COA. Some 61 percent of Asians picked Biden. Over 80 percent of Black voters chose Biden.
A Brookings study showed white voters as a percentage of the electorate are shrinking. Their loss is the Latinos gain.
Sixty percent of Latinos voted for Democrats in the 2022 midterms; 39 percent voted Republican. In 2018, 72 percent favored Democrats and 25 percent favored Republicans, according to Pew Research.
Democrats have targeted Latinos for years, using fear campaigns and the usual diversity and justice rhetoric. Republicans are meanies. They love Wall Street and Corporate America. Democrats will groom new immigrants in the same way, helped by friendly non-profits.
But Republicans can pick up Latinos (Blacks and Asians, too) by using the Democrats’ core cultural issues as a point of difference.
On transgender issues, a decent majority of Blacks, Latinos and Asians believe there are only two genders, according to a 2022 Pew Research study.
Republicans need to present an opposing view; not one that belittles trans people, but one that asks – for example – do you want your girlfriend competing in sports with transwomen? Do you think the state has the right to take away your child and prescribe life altering hormones without your approval? If no, we’re your people.
Democrats are terrifying Latinos about climate change. The Environmental Protection Agency actually says no one suffers from climate change like the Latinos.
But climate risks score low on their priority list. Republicans can persuade them with reason.
We all want a healthy ecosystem, yet Democrats’ support for climate policies lead to centralized control of important supply chains, like food. Their academic base say livestock harm the planet. Flights home will cost more because flying is a climate risk. That’s not a policy yet, but Republicans can say Democrats would support it.
On immigration, Latinos support easier paths to naturalization and no deportation for “The Dreamers”. Building the wall, however, is a top five issue for them. Democrats support border chaos. This is dangerous, diverts public funding, and threatens wage gains.
“Newcomers for Trump” tells the liberals that they’re not going to own immigrant voters anymore.
Republicans can talk to them about how they plan to keep America a sane, prosperous and safe nation they can thrive in. That’s why most came here. Let them know which party has their back, and which one is turning their chosen homeland into the Fourth World.
Kenneth Rapoza covered Brazil for the Wall Street Journal in the early 2000s and later wrote about the BRICS for Forbes between 2011 and 2023. He is an industry analyst at the Coalition for a Prosperous America.
The views and opinions expressed in this commentary are those of the author and do not reflect the official position of the Daily Caller News Foundation.
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